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24 Think:Act Aircraft Electrical Propulsion K LARGE COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT ELECTRIC GENERATION CAPACITY UNDER RB "FAST" SCENARIO Total electric geneation capacity will increase significantly if new More Electric Aircraft are introduced. Electric generation capacity (2016=100) 100 1,432 140 1,292 2016 150 1,800 150 1,650 2020 160 1,900 150 1,850 2025 300 2,200 1,000 More Electric Aircraft 1,200 Traditional aircraft e.g. A380, A350, A330, A320, B777, B747, B737 2030 the fan that can be employed on a UHBR engine, and/or radical new configurations (e.g. blended wing body) of- fer aerodynamic improvements that counterbalance the lower propulsion system efficiency. Several new technologies and regulatory changes would be required to enable this scenario. L Classes of aircraft impacted would be either all-elec- tric or hybrid-electric, able to travel short distances (100- 500 mile range) and at slow-medium speeds in an effi- cient manner with medium levels of battery density. Hybrid-electrical propulsion would make intermediate aircraft sizes viable, such as small-medium sized re- gional aircraft (up to c. 30 seats). If all-electrical propul- sion becomes feasible (especially in light of the 2017 FAA/EASA regulation updates to Part 23 and CS23, re- spectively), light-medium sized general aviation aircraft would also become possible. In addition, an increase in efficient intercity transport would draw some traffic away from cars and train options, with regional electric aircraft holding the potential to reduce travel time at comparable costs. SCENARIO 3: SMALL SCALE REVOLUTION This scenario is incremental to Scenario 2, and would represent a sea change in how we experience urban travel, with the introduction of an entirely new platform type into service. Source: Teal, Roland Berger SCENARIO 2: NICHE APPLICATION This scenario is incremental to Scenario 1 and considers the adoption of some Electrical Propulsion in niche ap- plications. The potential for the adoption of Electrical Propulsion, in particular, is greatest where a hybrid-elec- tric or all-electric engine offer benefits over traditional jet engine or ultra-high bypass ratio jet engine alterna- tives – in areas where either noise constraints mean that a UHBR engine exceeds local restrictions, installation constraints (e.g. ground clearance) restrict the size of The Roland Berger model considers 4 More Electric Aircraft scenarios, with new platforms being in- troduced into the market, with increased levels of electrification and sensing.PDF Image | Aircraft Electrical Propulsion The Next Chapter of Aviation 2017
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