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could enter commercial service by the early 2030s, while views on when battery-electric aircraft could become available are more divergent. In average, the experts see an entry into service around 2043 as realistic. Recently, public funding bodies have focused more strongly on electric aviation as part of future sustainable transport (e.g. in the UK [73] and in the EU [74]). This may contribute to accelerating the development and maturation of electric aircraft propulsion. The planned stronger efforts to fund electric aircraft technology development publicly are not only motivated by the expected climate impact, but also by the benefits for noise and air quality. 2035-2050 Market Entry for Battery-powered Aircraft on Short- haul Flights Nb of Pax: up to 150 Range: 290 nm A380neo? 2030-2035 Airlines offering Regional Scheduled Flights based on Hybrid-driven Aircraft Nb of Pax: 50-100 Range: 850 nm TODAY Electric Air Taxi First Manned Flight Today 2020-2025 Electric Air Taxi Enter Service for Urban Mobility Nb of Pax: 2 Range: 150 nm 2025-2030 Market Entry for Small Hybrid-Electric Aircraft for Business or Commercial Use Nb of Pax: 10-15 Range: 700 nm Figure 35: Outlook for Electric Propulsion Market (optimistic view) 3.4. Assessment of Revolutionary Technology Concepts and Deployment Challenges Compared to today’s aircraft, all revolutionary technology concepts and aircraft configurations have a considerable impact on various aspects of operations. Most of them have been designed with the aim of reducing fuel burn and CO2 emissions. However, further benefits may come along with them, whereas other properties may present challenges for implementing the technology or for day-to-day operations. This can affect various areas of operations, such as: • Environment (noise, local air quality) • Ground operations and infrastructure • Flight performance • Passenger and cargo aspects • Maintenance • Industrial aspects (development, manufacturing) • Certification The following paragraphs give an overview of the main challenges and benefits of the revolutionary concepts studied in this report. More details are described below (see also [12]). 2050 31PDF Image | Aircraft Technology Roadmap to 2050
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