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Heat Pumps at Scale

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Heat Pumps at Scale ( heat-pumps-at-scale )

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The 3rd Largest Potential Customer side contribution to meeting our future energy needs 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 TECHNICAL POTENTIAL Quadrillion Btu/yr Market Transformation Potential of the ASHP - 2018 ACEEE Paper Excerpt LED Lighting Heat Pumps for Space and Water Electric Vehicles Photovoltaics ASHP systems are based on a seasonal COP of 2.2 for water heating and 3.3 for space heating sourced by a 50% efficient electrical grid (generation, transmission and distribution losses). 50% efficient is high, but chosen as a proxy for a gas turbine + renewable energy dominated utility grid likely by 2050. The iASHP systems could also powered on-site by gas. Such systems would need COP values not much higher than 1.1 for water heating and 1.65 for space heating to provide the equivalent source energy reduction. The lighting baseline estimate is adjusted to pre LED conditions NEEA’s building stock assessment (NEEA) values, with end state efficacy estimates of 100 lm/W for residential lighting and 150lm/W for commercial. The photovoltaic “savings” are based on a projected 1000 GWp of installed capacity under a solar resource of 1400 kWh/Wp. | ©2020 Copyright NEEA. 9

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Heat Pumps at Scale

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