RAP Perfect Fit Heat Pump

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RAP Perfect Fit Heat Pump ( rap-perfect-fit-heat-pump )

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36 | THE PERFECT FIT REGULATORY ASSISTANCE PROJECT How would these proposals affect heat pumps? Overall, these changes would drive increased support for heat pumps because heat which is extracted from the environment will count towards the overall 2030 renewable energy target. The proposed building-specific target, district heating requirements and the focus on the development of heating and cooling skills will also likely bolster the market. The requirement for heating and cooling resource assessments could also lead to more detailed area-based heat planning. A major concern is that the combination of a more ambitious target and weak protective amendments against the deployment of harmful biomass will allow the lion’s share of the required uptick in contribution of renewables to heat to be met by unsustainable biomass. This biomass would increase greenhouse gas emissions over the coming years and decades, damaging biodiversity and impinging on human health. Current projections for 2030 show that the majority of renewable heating and cooling is expected to be met through the use of biomass, but as is shown in Figure 13, the relative share of biomass in the heat mix is expected to reduce and the relative share of heat- pumped heat to significantly increase.43 Figure 13. Projected shares of non-fossil fuel heating technologies to meet EU renewable heating and cooling targets for 2030 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Unknown Renewable municipal solid waste Other Waste heat Solar thermal Heat pumps Geothermal Biomass 2018 2030 (projected) Source: Toleikyte, A. & Carlsson, J. (2021). Assessment of heating and cooling related chapters of the national energy and climate plans (NECPs). 43 Toleikyte, A. & Carlsson, J. (2021). Assessment of heating and cooling related chapters of the national energy and climate plans (NECPs). EUR 30595 EN, Publications Office of the European Union. ISBN 978-92-76-30234-6, doi:10.2760/27251, JRC124024. https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/ handle/JRC124024 Annual heat pump sales (units sold)

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