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There is neither a correct nor an incorrect inflation index to use for an analysis. However, it is recommendedthattheinflationindicesusedmatchascloselyaspossibletheworkathand. Forexample, if the work is general and national in scope, then the GDP deflator is suitable. On the other hand, if the work is more narrowly defined, such as the regional price of electricity, a regional CPI is suitable. The analyst must use judgment when deciding which indices to apply. Sometimesitisnecessarytoincorporatefutureestimateso€inflationinananalysis. Theanalystshould be aware of the high degree of uncertainty inherent in projected inflation rates and perform sensitivity analysis (discussed in the subsection Uncertainty and Risk in Section 2) using different inflation rates. Projected inflation rates can be obtained fi-ommany private sector sources; the federal government projects these rates twice a year in presidential administration economic forecasts (OMB 1992). It is important to note that there may be price changes in particular goods and services that are larger or smaller than changes resulting from general price inflation. See Appendix B far a discussion on escalation. Time Points and Periods Timepointsandperiodsarecrucialfactorsinananalysis. Timepointsconsideredcriticaltoananalysis includethebaseyear,dollaryear,andinvestmentyear. Theseareimportantprimarilyfromareporting standpoint. Base YearRex Zero - Year to which aT1 cash flows are converted. - Year to which base year results are converted and reported (possibly for comparison purposes with other years). Dollar Year InvestmentYear - Yearinwhichtheactualinvestmentoccurs. Important time periods €or the andyst include the investment lifetime (L), the analysis period (N), the depreciation period (M), the finance period (Y), and the levelization period (P). Investment Useful Lifetime Analysis Period Depreciation Period Finance Period Levelization Period - Estimate of a particular investment's useful life. (If not already available through sources such as the EPRP TAG [EPRI December 19911, which provides values for generating technology book lives [investment life, 30 years in most cases], the equipment manufacturer should be contacted.) - Period of time for which an evaluation is conducted. - Periodoftimeoverwhichaninvestmentisamortized(usuallyfortaxpurposes). - Period of time for which an investment's financing is structured (e.g., a loan is amortized over 30 years). - Period of time used when calculating a levelized cash flow stream. 4PDF Image | A Manual for the Economic Evaluation of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Technologies
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