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Parabolic-Trough Technology Roadmap January 1999 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Technology roadmapping is a needs-driven technology planning process that helps identify, select, and develop technology alternatives to satisfy a set of market needs. The U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Power Technologies' Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Program recently sponsored a technology roadmapping workshop for parabolic-trough technology. The workshop was attended by an impressive cross section of industry and research experts. The goals of the workshop were to evaluate the market potential for trough power projects, develop a better understanding of the current state of the technology, and to develop a conceptual plan for advancing the state of parabolic-trough technology. This report documents and extends the roadmap that was conceptually developed during the workshop. Key findings of the workshop were: • A number of parabolic-trough power project opportunities may soon be realized. These projects are driven by the expanding global power market, increasing interest in greenhouse gas reduction, and a growing interest in “green” power. India, Egypt, Morocco, and Mexico have active trough project development programs in place and are in varying stages of the approval process to receive grants from the Global Environment Facility. Independent power producers are in the early stages of design and development for potential parabolic-trough power projects in Greece (Crete), Spain, and the United States (Arizona). Given successful deployment in one or more of these initial markets, additional project opportunities are expected in these and other regions. • Parabolic-trough technology is the only CSP technology that has demonstrated sufficiently low risk to gain the attention of the financial community and independent power developers for near-term projects. The nine solar electric generating station (SEGS) plants, 354 MWe of net solar electric generating capacity, continue to operate well in California's Mojave Desert and have accumulated nearly 100 plant-years of commercial operating experience. • Significant technology advances have occurred since the last SEGS plants were developed. Proven and expected technology improvements indicate that cost reductions of over 50% and performance increases of up to 50% may be feasible. An appropriately focused research, development, and demonstration effort for trough technologies could achieve a levelized energy cost of 4¢–5¢/kilowatt-hour. • A reasonable, modest cost pathway exists for moving parabolic-trough technology forward. The plan articulated in this roadmap suggests gradual steps in technology advances and deployments that allow parabolic troughs to mature to the point that they can compete directly with conventional power technologies in many sunbelt regions around the globe. • U.S. industry currently has several competitive strengths for developing this market, but is unlikely to be successful in the near term without forming international collaborations. Without these collaborations the U.S. competitive position could erode significantly given the significantly greater funding (from both government and private industry) of European trough research efforts. Page 1PDF Image | A Pathway for Sustained Commercial Development and Deployment of Parabolic Trough Technology
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