An Economic Valuation of a Geothermal Production Tax Credit

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An Economic Valuation of a Geothermal Production Tax Credit ( an-economic-valuation-geothermal-production-tax-credit )

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4.0 Cost to the U.S. Treasury An important question in the examination of the geothermal PTC is how much the incentive will cost the U.S. Treasury. The answer to this question depends on both the project-level costs and on the number of projects that are initiated as a result of the PTC. The project-level costs of the PTC have been evaluated in this report; however, no quantitative attempt has been made to estimate the macroeconomic impact. Still, some observations can be made about the potential cost to the U.S. Treasury even in the absence of a complete macroeconomic assessment. From the perspective of the U.S. Treasury, it is likely that the net cost of the PTC would be insignificant or perhaps even negative, because, as Jenkins et al. (1998) have shown, the tax loads associated with constructing and owning geothermal projects are often higher than the load for competing fossil fuel plants under current tax code. In fact, a recent analysis of geothermal federal royalties and income taxes found that federal taxation on geothermal power is about three to four times that of electricity produced from a new natural-gas combined-cycle power plant (Entingh 1998). These studies indicate that if new federal incentives are enacted which encourage the increased geothermal development as an important complement to traditional energy resources, and if the total government cost of the new incentives is less than the difference between the tax loads of the geothermal and conventional generation technologies, then the government will actually increase its revenue through the enactment of such policies. Although additional research is needed, these initial analyses indicate that the Treasury exposure due to a geothermal PTC may be very limited. 10

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