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NREL CA Solar Benefits Executive Summary Executive Summary This study provides a summary assessment of concentrating solar power (CSP) and its potential economic return, energy supply impact, and environmental benefits for the State of California. Emphasis was placed on in-state economic impact in terms of direct and indirect employment created by the manufacture, installation, and operation of CSP plants. The environmental impact of CSP relative to natural gas fueled counterparts was studied. The value of CSP as a hedge against natural gas price increases and volatility was also analyzed. Black & Veatch chose a 100 MW parabolic trough plant with 6 hours of storage as the representative CSP plant to focus the results of the study. Cumulative deployment scenarios of 2,100 MW and 4,000 MW between 2008 and 2020 were assumed. Based on estimates provided by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), future CSP technology improvements were incorporated into the study by assuming that 150 MW and 200 MW plants would be constructed starting in 2011 and 2015, respectively. The NREL estimates include reduced installed costs over time as a result of technology learning and increased construction efficiency. The levelized cost of electric production was calculated for each CSP plant. There are indications that recently bid trough plants may have somewhat lower capital costs than those used in this report; however, these data are not publicly available. Overall, while lower capital costs can somewhat lower the economic impact in California, the decrease is not expected to significantly change the conclusions of this report. Currently (and for the foreseeable future), natural gas fueled combustion turbine based power plants are the most frequent choice for new power plants in California. As suggested in Table ES-1, the utility electric supply needs served by simple cycle and combined cycle plants tend to be those that might be served by CSP with storage. Thus, these two gas technologies are identified as conventional technology benchmarks for comparison of CSP competitiveness and economic impacts. Table ES-1 Power Plant Characteristics Simple Cycle Combined Cycle CSP with 6 Hours Storage Typical Size 85 MW 500 MW 100 to 200 MW Typical Duty Peaking Intermediate Intermediate or Peaking Capacity Factor 10 percent 40 percent 40 percent April 21, 2006 ES-1PDF Image | Economic, Energy, and Environmental Benefits of Concentrating Solar Power in California
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