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TROUGH TECHNOLOGY Trough Technology Summary The cost, performance, and risk of parabolic trough technology are fairly well established by the experience of the existing operating parabolic trough plants. Based on the data available to S&L, the analysis bounds the future potential cost of parabolic trough power. • Assuming the technology improvements are limited to current demonstrated or tested improvements and a deployment of 2.8 GWe of installed capacity by the year 2020 and successful development of a thermal storage system, trough costs should be able to drop to approximately 6.2¢/kWh • Assuming the projected technical improvements are achieved by an active R&D program combined with incentives and deployment of 4.9 GWe, the trough costs projected by Sunlab of about 4¢/kWh could be acheived. Trough Technology S&L Base Case The base case for the S&L trough technology cost estimates is as follows: ES-4 Year Capacity, MWe Capacity Factor, % Capital Cost, $/kW Annual O&M Cost, $k Levelized Energy Cost (LEC), $/kWh Economic Life General Inflation Equity Rate of Return Cost of Construction Construction Duration Investment Tax Credit Taxes Depreciable Life Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) Ownership Trough 2020 400 56.2% $3,220 $14,129 $0.0621 30 yrs 2.5 % 14% 7% 1 yr. 10% 40.2% 5 yrs. 14% 1.35 IPPPDF Image | Executive Summary: Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts
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