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Executive Summary: Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts

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Executive Summary: Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts ( executive-summary-assessment-parabolic-trough-and-power-towe )

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Tower Technology S&L Base Case The base case for the Sargent & Lundy tower technology cost estimates is as follows: ES-9 Year Capacity, MWe Capacity Factor, % Capital Cost, $/kW Annual O&M Cost, $k Levelized Energy Cost (LEC), $/kWh Economic Life General Inflation Equity Rate of Return Cost of Construction Construction Duration Investment Tax Credit Taxes Depreciable Life Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) Ownership Tower 2020 200 72.9% $3,622 $9,132 $0.0547 30 yrs 2.5 % 14% 7% 1 yr. 10% 40.2% 5 yrs. 14% 1.35 IPP Differences and Rational for the S&L Tower Technology Projection The DOE Concentrating Solar Power Program has developed detailed baseline cost and performance data for the power tower technology. In addition, detailed technology R&D plans specify how these technologies are expected to change over time. DOE also has established assumed plant deployment forecasts over time. The S&L due-diligence-like approach used in this study reviewed the technology cost, performance, technology R&D, and deployment assumptions and identified the areas where the assumptions have not been fully demonstrated. The S&L review was based on discussions with SunLab, interaction with the CSP industry, input from other experts, and S&L in-house technical expertise. The projected levelized energy costs of electricity in 2020 estimated by S&L are 65% higher than the projections by SunLab. The main differences and rational for the S&L projections are the following: • Sargent & Lundy did not assume deployment of the advanced high temperature turbine and heliostats in 2020, whereas the SunLab assumed deployment in 2018.

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