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Table of contents Executive summary........................................................................................................................7 1. Introduction...............................................................................................................................15 1.1. Purpose of the study...........................................................................................................15 1.2. HEU use in the 99Mo/99mTc supply chain ..........................................................................16 1.3. Overview of the NEA study on LEU-target conversion impacts...................................16 1.4. Sources and uncertainties around information .............................................................18 2. Capacity impacts of LEU-target conversion.........................................................................19 2.1. Framework and methodology of capacity modelling....................................................19 2.2. Reference capacity data .....................................................................................................22 2.3. Economic- and technology-challenges situations .........................................................26 2.4. Capacity impact elements .................................................................................................26 2.5. Capacity impacts from converting to LEU targets .........................................................29 2.6. Comment on high-density targets ...................................................................................35 2.7. Conclusions regarding the expected capacity impacts from LEU-target conversion .....36 3. Cost impacts of LEU-target conversion ................................................................................37 3.1. Framework and methodology of economic modelling .................................................37 3.2. Economic modelling scenarios .........................................................................................39 3.3. Cost impact elements.........................................................................................................39 3.4. Cost impacts from converting to LEU targets .................................................................44 3.5. Conclusions regarding the expected cost impacts from LEU-target conversion.......50 4. Conclusions on the market impacts of converting to the use of LEU targets for 99Mo production...................................................................................................................51 References ......................................................................................................................................52 Annexes 1. Expert working group............................................................................................................53 2. Capacity impact elements ....................................................................................................57 3. Cost impact elements............................................................................................................61 List of figures E1. Capacity model from impacts to outcomes ..................................................................9 E2. Current and select new entrants processing production of 99Mo vs. demand under the economic-challenges situation...................................................................11 1.1. Major participants and distribution channels of the 99Mo supply chain ................17 2.1. Capacity model framework ...........................................................................................19 MARKET IMPACTS OF CONVERTING TO LOW-ENRICHED URANIUM TARGETS FOR MEDICAL ISOTOPE PRODUCTION, ISBN 978-92-64-99197-2, © OECD 2012 5 TABLE OF CONTENTSPDF Image | Market Impacts of Converting to Low-enriched Uranium Targets for Medical Isotope Production
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