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CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION 18 MARKET IMPACTS OF CONVERTING TO LOW-ENRICHED URANIUM TARGETS FOR MEDICAL ISOTOPE PRODUCTION, ISBN 978-92-64-99197-2, © OECD 2012 1.4. Sources and uncertainties around information Information for the assessment came from an expert working group (made up of major supply chain participants, see Annex 1). The expert working group met during two workshops. The information provided at the workshops was supplemented by interviews with individual supply chain participants by the NEA, and NEA’s own knowledge of the supply chain. In order to have access to as complete information as possible, the NEA assured input providers that information that may be of a commercial nature would be kept confidential. As a result, the paper does not attribute comments, values or statements to any specific input provider where it may affect commercial undertakings. Further, the degree of some impacts of LEU conversion will not be separately provided in the report as this would be in conflict with the assurances provided by the NEA. The capacity and cost models are facility and time specific, meaning that impacts are assessed for each facility based on the information provided for that facility and account for the timing of conversion at the specific facility. While some members of the expert working group and of the supply chain provided as much information as possible, some were unable to share information about their facility and the expected impacts of target conversion. Where information was not provided, the NEA was required to make assumptions based on the input from other participants and NEA’s own knowledge of the industry. It must be noted that for those facilities that have not yet converted to using LEU targets for 99Mo production the values provided for their facility impacts (both cost and capacity) are based on the best available information that they have at the time of undertaking the modelling. However, in some instances there is a degree of uncertainty about the actual impact. The study accounts for this uncertainty by assessing low and high values of the expected facility-specific impacts. In addition, since this study relies on data provided for the NEA economic study (OECD/NEA, 2010), the related uncertainties discussed in that report are relevant (see p. 61 of the economic report for a discussion on those uncertainties). Given these uncertainties, it is clear that the values presented in this study are only approximate and do not purport to represent the situation in every region or jurisdiction. The values are meant to provide an indication of the expected trends in capacity and costs from the impacts of target conversion and to draw the key conclusions and lessons from those trends. The absolute numbers in isolation are not the important element and will not change the fundamental policy decisions that may be derived by governments based on this report. The uncertainties present in the study do not affect the final conclusions of the study.PDF Image | Market Impacts of Converting to Low-enriched Uranium Targets for Medical Isotope Production
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