Market Impacts of Converting to Low-enriched Uranium Targets for Medical Isotope Production

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Market Impacts of Converting to Low-enriched Uranium Targets for Medical Isotope Production ( market-impacts-converting-low-enriched-uranium-targets-medic )

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Table 2.1. Current irradiators CHAPTER 2. CAPACITY IMPACTS OF LEU-TARGET CONVERSION they seemed credible, based on public announcements, having secured funding, and/or government decisions supporting the projects. Again, it must be pointed out that the NEA did not undertake any formal assessment of the credibility of the potential projects or their reported capacity levels. The reference data represent information available to the NEA as of June 2012. It should be noted that the timelines for some current irradiators include an assumption that licence extensions will be provided. However, licence extensions may require some refurbishments in the irradiator and the decision to proceed with those investments may be subject to the economic conditions that prevail in the market at that time. If the decision is to not proceed with the necessary refurbishments, the values in later years would be lower than presented in this study. This highlights another key reason for the need to address the economic situation in the supply chain to ensure the continued planned operation of current irradiators. Reactor Targets BR-2 HEU HFR HEU LVR-15 HEU MARIA HEU NRU HEU OPAL LEU OSIRIS HEU RA-3 LEU SAFARI-1 HEU3/LEU Normal operating days 140 280 200 165 300 290 200 336 305 Normal available capacity per week (6-day Ci)1 7 800 4 680 2 800 1 920 4 680 1 000 1 200 400 3 000 Potential annual production (6-day Ci)2 156 000 187 200 80 000 42 500 200 600 41 450 34 300 19 200 130 700 Estimated stop production date 2026 2022 2028 2030 2016 >2030 2018 2027 2025 1. What is possible under normal operations, without major changes to the reactor or sacrifices to other irradiation missions. 2. Based on operating days and normal available capacity – not necessarily what is actually produced currently, rounded. 3. NTP HEU targets are enriched to approximately 45%, compared to the industry standard of 90-93%. Table 2.2. Current processors Processor Targets AECL/NORDION HEU ANSTO HEALTH LEU CNEA LEU COVIDIEN HEU IRE HEU NTP HEU3/LEU Capacity per week (6-d Ci) 7 200 1 000 900 3 500 2 500 3 000 Available annual capacity (6-d Ci)1 374 400 52 000 46 800 182 000 130 000 156 000 Expected date of conversion to LEU targets Not expected2 Started as LEU Converted 2015 2015 20134 1. Actual production is often less, as processing capacity is technically available 52 weeks while irradiated targets are not delivered 52 weeks of the year for all processors. When determining processor production, irradiator limitations are taken into account where they exist. This may have the effect of some processing capacity not being fully used if there is not sufficient irradiator capacity to supply the processor with irradiated product. 2. The government of Canada has announced that it will not produce 99Mo at the NRU reactor after 2016, Therefore it does not expect to convert to using LEU targets for the production of 99Mo. 3. NTP HEU targets are enriched to approximately 45%, compared to the industry standard of 90-93%. 4. NTP can already produce LEU-based 99Mo but does not expect 100% production from LEU targets until 2013, as their customers required time to obtain the necessary health regulatory approvals. MARKET IMPACTS OF CONVERTING TO LOW-ENRICHED URANIUM TARGETS FOR MEDICAL ISOTOPE PRODUCTION, ISBN 978-92-64-99197-2, © OECD 2012 23

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