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Market Impacts of Converting to Low-enriched Uranium Targets for Medical Isotope Production

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Market Impacts of Converting to Low-enriched Uranium Targets for Medical Isotope Production ( market-impacts-converting-low-enriched-uranium-targets-medic )

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CHAPTER 2. CAPACITY IMPACTS OF LEU-TARGET CONVERSION 30 MARKET IMPACTS OF CONVERTING TO LOW-ENRICHED URANIUM TARGETS FOR MEDICAL ISOTOPE PRODUCTION, ISBN 978-92-64-99197-2, © OECD 2012 Figure 2.4. Current irradiator capacity vs. demand: impact scenarios 1 000 000 900 000 800 000 700 000 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 Current irradiators: reference case Current irradiators: low impact NEA demand scenario (high ORC requirements) NEA demand scenario (no ORC requirements) Current irradiators: very low impact Current irradiators: high impact NEA demand scenario (low ORC requirements) Figure 2.5. Current and all potential new irradiator capacity vs. demand: impact scenarios 3 000 000 2 800 000 2 600 000 2 400 000 2 200 000 2 000 000 1 800 000 1 600 000 1 400 000 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 600 000 400 000 200 000 Total irradiators: reference case Total irradiators: low impact NEA demand scenario (high ORC requirements) NEA demand scenario (no ORC) Total irradiators: very low impact Total irradiators: high impact NEA demand scenario (low ORC requirements) Current and potential new entrant irradiators As described in Section 2.2 (Table 2.3), there are many potential irradiator projects at various stages of development. Some of these projects are very well advanced, while others are in the proposal or design phase or are seeking financing or other approvals before actually advancing to construction. Figure 2.5 presents a future potential situation that includes all these proposed projects and the current fleet of irradiators. With this 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Annual six-day curies EOP Annual six-day curies EOP

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