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Solar Energy Technologies Program

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Solar Energy Technologies Program ( solar-energy-technologies-program )

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Objectives 2003: Complete a conceptual framework for a Program-level modeling and analysis capability, based on existing tools and identification of gaps and needs within the technology areas of Solar Program subprograms. • Working with experts within each technology area, develop and document baseline technology configurations. • Collect (or develop), validate, and document cost/performance data for each technology configuration. • Identify existing analytical tools for each of the technology areas. • Identify areas where it is necessary to develop additional analytical models (at the technology and Program level). 2004: Demonstrate a beta version of one or more integrated solar-analysis platforms. • Select markets (i.e., distributed, utility, remote) for initial development of integrated analysis tool. 2006: Complete a fully implemented and integrated analysis capability that assists Program decision- making based on a standardized set of metrics, assumptions, and risk analyses within the several technology subprograms. 2007: Continue to refine and integrate systems-level analysis capabilities, including setting of technology targets, based on validation of new technology models and components, updates of simulation tools and models, and assessment of new or changing market conditions. 3.3 Key Technical Challenges and Barriers There are several challenges to be overcome in developing this Program-level analytical environment. They include: A. Limited modeling and analysis tools. Although many modeling and analysis tools are commonly used for the various solar technologies within the Solar Program, information flow among these tools is very limited. B. Access to data. Sufficient data are required for analytical tools to provide relevant, defensible results. Data are needed related to costs, performance, operation, and maintenance of installed systems and components, as well as different market factors. C. Uncertainty of analysis. This uncertainty exists across the range of analysis activities, from systems-level studies to assessing fundamental R&D efforts. D. Standardization of assumptions. Comparisons between technologies and even between different R&D paths within particular technology sectors are often hampered by different sets of assumptions related to costs, markets, and other technology-related factors. E. Linkage between technology and markets. Better market characterization is needed, along with assessments of the impacts of new technology introductions in these markets. F. Characterization of solar resource and its influence on technology and markets. Improved resolution and accuracy in assessing the solar resource would greatly facilitate the capabilities of models to accurately predict the performance of solar installations and could be geographically linked to other analysis tools. Solar Energy Technologies Program Multi-Year Technical Plan 34

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