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3.4 Approach and Tasks The activities to be conducted in this program area fall into three primary categories: (1) development and implementation of a systems analysis framework, (2) development of technical targets and impact assessments for each Solar Program technology, and (3) benchmarking, validation, and periodic updating of technology analyses. A brief description for each of these categories is given below. Table 3-1 lists specific tasks within these categories and associated barriers that these tasks address. Table 3-2 lists associated milestones, and the following Gantt chart summarizes the schedule for each of the tasks and milestones. 3.4.1 Systems Model Development The major focus will be to develop the analytical model(s) used to estimate impacts of technology- specific R&D efforts and to establish standard frameworks for collecting and assessing performance and cost data within the technology programs. Existing simulation and modeling tools will be assessed, gaps among existing tools will be identified, and requirements will be established for creating new tools. These analytical tools will be linked in an integrated simulation environment—a Solar “ADVISOR” model—for market sectors served by the Solar Program’s portfolio of technologies. The integrated model will link to other energy models that are designed to simulate impacts of new technology introduction at national and even global scales, in terms of economic indicators, overall energy consumption, pollution or greenhouse gas emissions, or other indicators. Results will be formatted such that they can be used as input to such models, enabling the assessment of national impacts of Solar Program-driven technology-development activities. 3.4.2 Technical Target Development and Impact Estimates for Solar Systems A primary activity within the systems driven approach is the development of technical/economic targets for systems funded within the Solar Program. These targets will be defined based on market requirement, assessments of out-year technology costs, and related estimates of penetration into existing and new markets. Working with technology experts, measures of success (i.e., LEC, payback, first cost) will be identified within market sectors, and targets will be set that align Solar Program activities with national energy goals. These high-level targets will be used within the technology subprograms to determine system- and component-level targets to meet the Program’s higher-order goals. A system of tracking progress toward targets at all levels will be developed and implemented. This system will allow review of progress or, if necessary, modification of targets based on new data or changing national energy goals. In addition, trade-off studies for technologies under development will be conducted based on the contribution of different options toward meeting targets. Go/no-go decisions on technology options will be based on the results of these trade-off studies. 3.4.3 Benchmarking, Validation, and Analysis Updates A major component of this effort will be the development of a standardized framework for monitoring and assessing the cost, performance, and reliability of fielded systems. Data related to cost, performance, and reliability will be collected for all technologies under development. Gaps in the baseline data will be identified, and an action plan will be produced to collect needed data. These data will be used to estimate a baseline cost for standard system configurations identified as part of the systems analysis framework activity. The baseline data described above will be updated regularly through data collection efforts undertaken by the technology programs. Continuous updating and validation is essential to demonstrate and document progress toward meeting the Program’s long-term goals for each technology. Data will be gathered through several means, including collaboration with designers and installers, periodically planned visits to project sites to perform field assessments of performance, collection of operation and maintenance information from technicians, and the use of remote data-acquisition systems to monitor operational characteristics. Solar Energy Technologies Program Multi-Year Technical Plan 35PDF Image | Solar Energy Technologies Program
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