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FUEL FROM THE SKY: SOLAR POWER’S POTENTIAL FOR WESTERN ENERGY SUPPLY cant environmental costs. There may be opportunities for small hydro generation development, but those projects would add only minimal amounts of capacity to western generating capacity. For both solar and wind, RDI Consulting conducted a detailed resource assessment that is described in the sections, “Wind” and “The Solar Energy Potential.” Data from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and a geographic information systems (GIS) were used to estimate the western wind and solar potential. The GIS analysis discounted 90% to 99% of potentially available wind and solar resources, which already excludes urbanized areas, national parks and other areas not available for wind or solar power plants. We find that wind could pro- vide, ideally, 85% of western energy needs, while solar has the potential to produce twice the amount of electricity consumed in the West in 2001. This surprising result supports the view that solar power may be the preferred renewable energy source in the Southwest, where, based on our analysis, wind resources are much smaller than the solar resources. Western solar resources are potentially the best in the world and are almost exclusively found in the Southwest—with Arizona being the hot spot of solar power. Western solar resources are enormous. According to our analysis, 1,051,466 GWh could be generated by premium solar resources alone and would be commensurate with total western energy demand of 1,092,160 GWh (see Exhibit 24). Premium solar resource areas have the potential of over 480,000 MW of power, yet would occupy only about 0.2 % of western lands. Wind potential in the West is also very large. Paradoxically, of all western states, California, the birthplace of wind power, has few wind energy resources available for development compared to other western states. Wind generating technologies were developed in the U.S. in the 1980s, but it was in Europe that wind emerged from a niche technology to become today’s fastest grow- ing generating technology. The U.S., including the West, is currently seeing an explosion of new wind farms. According to our analysis, there appear to be 282,506 MW of Class 4 and higher wind resources in the West, which could generate 930,455 GWh of electricity. Nuclear Nuclear energy from fission is an enormous source of energy. Fission, the process that we know as nuclear power today, is also the source of enormous controversy due to the inherent dangers in operating with and storing nuclear material. Given the current environment, we do not believe that new nuclear power plants will be built in the West in the next several years. Nevertheless, we believe that existing nuclear plants will extend their operating licenses where economically and technically feasible. If nuclear fusion could ever be used for power generation (the technolo- gy is still in its infancy), it would provide unlimited amounts of energy with little environmental impact. That day, however, is far off in the future. 28PDF Image | Solar Fuel From The Sky
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