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FUEL FROM THE SKY: SOLAR POWER’S POTENTIAL FOR WESTERN ENERGY SUPPLY terrain, or other reasons. Premium resource areas were assigned the highest percentage of availability to reflect the great interest of solar power plant developers in those areas and the fact that these areas are usually deserts. In order to calculate the potential solar generation that could come from this land, we used the following values for the land requirements and efficiencies of a thermal solar power plant. In the analysis of Exhibit 24 we assume that 1 MW of solar power requires five acres of land and that the solar fields of these plants would have the following capacity factors: 25% in premium, 22.5% in excellent, and 20% in good solar resource areas. These figures are a reasonable esti- mate for assessing the generating potential and are typical for CSP technologies. It is important to note that these capacity factors are the capacity factors of the solar field—the right quantity for assessing the solar resource potential—and not the electric capacity factors of the power island of a solar plant. For example, a plant with a 1-MW solar field and a 1-MW power island would have an electric capacity factor of 25% in a premium resource area. However, if the solar field were oversized by a factor of two and the surplus heat stored, then the 2-MW solar field would still only yield a capacity factor of 25%, yet the electric capacity factor of the 1-MW power island would roughly double to 50%. This is because the electric generator could continue to produce power on stored heat when the sun does not shine. Exhibit 24: Estimated Solar Resources in the West Region Solar Resources Premium Excellent Good Land as % of Region Northwest MW – 1,791 15,408 0.03 GWh – 3,529 26,995 Acres (000) – 9 77 CO & WY MW 2,513 18,423 24,194 0.20 GWh 5,504 36,313 42,388 Acres (000) 13 92 121 California MW 61,617 14,809 21,743 0.50 GWh 134,942 29,189 38,093 Acres (000) 308 74 109 Southwest MW 377,149 211,872 156,128 1.40 GWh 825,956 417,600 273,536 Acres (000) 1,886 1,059 781 Prairie States MW – 2,082 4,731 0.02 GWh – 4,105 8,288 Acres (000) – 10 24 Texas MW 38,842 50,681 38,264 0.04 GWh 85,064 99,892 67,039 Acres (000) 194 253 191 TOTAL GWh 1,051,466 590,627 456,340 0.50 2001 Demand GWh 1,092,160 N/A SOURCE: POWERmap and RDI Consulting NOTE: Estimate for electric generation assumes 5 acres/MW and capacity factors of 25% for premium, 22.5% for excellent, and 20% for good. 50PDF Image | Solar Fuel From The Sky
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