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U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) [view on the U.S.]1 USGS Circular 790 - Assessment of Geothermal Resources in the United States at: http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/usgspubs/cir/cir790#viewdoc USGS estimates a “hydrothermal resource base of 95,000-150,000 MWe”, defined in “identified resource base of 23,000 MWe” and an “undiscovered resource base” of 72,000-127,000 MWe. A new resource assessment by USGS is expected for 2008. National Renewable Energy Laboratory [view on the U.S.] “Updated U.S. Geothermal Supply Characterization” Petty S., Porro G., Presented at the 32nd Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering, January , 2007 at: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy07osti/41073.pdf The article refers to a base case scenario of co-produced potential of 71,600 MWe (71.6 GWe) and an overall potential of 126,300 MWe (126.3 GWe, including EGS). World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) [more global view] “Climate Solutions – WWF’s Vision for 2050” at: http://www.wwfindia.org/about_wwf/what_we_do/cc_e/pub/index.cfm Under the premise of the need for the reduction of carbon emissions as well as increased energy demand, the WWF looked only at technologies that are in place today. It identified two “technologies” at the forefront of covering both angles on the climate/ energy solutions. These are “industrial energy efficiency & conservation” and “Geothermal”. Other renewable energy technologies are lower in the WWF ranking. In the overall “supply mix” combining energy savings (reducing the demand) and “low-carbon” energy sources, Geothermal (heat and electricity) could provide 77 Exajoules or 6% of the overall “supply mix”. * There are a large number of further estimates in various publications, e.g. USGS, Bonneville (1985), Wright (1991), Petty (1992, 1993), Wright (2000) and PERI (2000) which assess identified and undiscovered hydrothermal potential with a total potential ranging from 4,800 MWe to 153,000 (318,000) MWe for the next 30 years. (see: Entingh, D. “U.S. Geothermal Resources Review & Needs Assessment (EGS Report 2001-01), at: http://www.osti.gov/geothermal/servlets/purl/896527-VgPcxA/896527.pdf Source: (1) GEA, Potential Use of Geothermal Energy, at: http://www.geo-energy.org/aboutGE/potentialUse.asp U.S. INVESTMENT NEEDS FOR CURRENT PROJECTS USD 9.5 billion for the currently planned projects in the U.S. Glitnir’s view on the investment required for the U.S. Geothermal Industry • Investment in geothermal power plants will be of a significant size for the years to come. • For the currently planned projects (based on GEA’s ), Glitnir estimates investment needs of USD 9.5 billion. Assumptions on a conservative basis: • Drilling: - Average days per well, wells per year. - With current rig availability around 175 MW/ year could/ can be developed • Investment Cost2: - Investment cost for each MW = USD 3.5 million (Current average numbers for geothermal development are giving an overall average cost figure of USD 3.5 million/ MW) September 2007 – Glitnir Geothermal Research 29PDF Image | GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET REPORT
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