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Figure 9: Distribution of Latin American Vehicle Fleet in 2009 Source: BBVA Latin America automobile industry After a decade of fast economic growth, declining unemployment, and improved income distribution, Latin America’s large, emerging middle class can afford cars for the first time. GDP per capita, now approximately US$7,000, is expected to exceed US$10,000 in the next three years. At those levels, vehicle demand tends to grow exponentially. With currencies appreciating, the cost of imported vehicles is declining. At the same time, relatively low inflation has prompted banks to offer attractive vehicle-purchase options. Nearly 80 percent of the region’s population lives in urban centers, but infrastructure deficits leave most Latin American countries without viable mass transportation systems, such as trains and subways, making motor vehicles the preferred mode of travel. At the same time vehicle demand is surging, production of diesel and gasoline is stagnating. The resulting need for more oil imports poses a challenge to the region’s balance of payments. Latin America pays high prices to import high-value-added products, which are then sold at subsidized prices in the domestic market. Energy subsidies cost Ecuador approximately US$5 billion per year, Mexico US$10 billion per year, and Venezuela up to US$20 billion per year, according to the IEA.4 4 Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2011. 9PDF Image | Infrastructure and Environment Department
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