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1. BACKGROUN A. STUDYOBJECTIVE The Cost of New Entry (“CONE’) is an administrative parameter used in PJM’s capacity market, the Reliability Pricing Model (“RPM”), with CONE values defined separately in each of five CONE Areas.’ The CONE parameter for a gas combustion turbine (“CT”) is used as an input for calculating points on the Variable Resource Requirement (“VRR”) The CONE parameters for a gas combined cycle (“CC”) as well as a gas CT are used in calculating offer price screens under the Minimum Offer Price Rule (“MOPR,) for new generation offering capacity into RPM.3 As a requirement of the Open Access Transmission Tariff (“OATT”), PJM is required to review the CONE parameter for the delivery year starting June 1, 2015 and every third year after that4 Between these triennial reviews, CONE is updated annually according to the Handy-Whitman Index. We were asked to assist PJM and stakeholders in this triennial review by developing CONE estimates for new gas CT and CC plants in each of the five CONE Areas. In this study, we define the gas CT and CC reference technologies for each CONE Area and estimate plant capital and other fixed costs for each plant. B. ANALYTICALPPROACH For a particular reference technology, CONE is made up of plant capital costs, which must be levelized to produce an armual cost, plus annual fixed operation and maintenance (“FOM’) costs. Our analytical starting point is the selection of the most economic reference technologies and feasible siting locations in each CONE Area. For each CC and CT in each area, we characterized the reference plants by size, turbine technology, configuration, and typical site characteristics. Key configuration variables include NO, controls, duct firing and other power augmentation, cooling systems, dual-fuel capability, and gas compression. We selected specific characteristics based on our analysis of the predominant practice among recently-developed plants; our analysis of technologies, regulations, and infiasti-ucture; and guidance from engineering sub-contractors. Key site characteristics include proximity to high voltage transmission infrastructure and interstate gas pipelines, siting attractiveness as indicated by units recently built or currently under consti-uction, and availability of vacant industrial land. Our analysis for selecting plant locations and technical specifications is presented in Section 11. A summary of the resulting technical and site characteristics of the identified reference technologies is presented in Section 111. To develop estimates of plant proper capital costs for the reference gas CT and CC plants in each CONE area, The Brattle Group sub-contracted with CH2M HILL Engineers, Inc. CH2M HILL ‘’ PJM (2011b), p. 2278 PJM (201 lb), p. 2280. PJM (2011b), pp. 2297-2300. PJM (201 lb), p. 2280. 4PDF Image | THE APPLICATION OF KENTUCKY POWER
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