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a natural gas price estimate. We estimated the cost of fuel oil using distillate fiitures through 2012, extended to 2015 using historical relationship between crude oil and distillate prices.30 We estimated the fiiture energy price based on PJM Eastern Hub for Eastern MAAC, Northern Illinois Hub for the Rest of RTO, and PJM Western Hub for all other CONE Areas.31 We calculated a 2012 market heat rate based on electricity and gas futures in each location, and assuming this market heat rate would remain constant to 2015. We averaged the resulting estimates for locational day-ahead on-peak and off-peak energy prices to estimate the average revenues that would be received during testing. Table 31 summarizes these gas, oil, and energy price estimates as well as our total resulting net startup cost estimates. Net costs are highest in the Rest of RTO k e a where energy prices are lowest, and are lower for CC plants, which have a lower heatrate and whose costs will be lower relative to their revenues. In Eastern MAAC our net startup fuel cost is actually negative due to our higher energy price estimate in that location. Gas CT 1 Eastern MAAC 2 Southwest MAAC 3RestofRTO 4 Westein MAAC 5 Doininion Gas CC 1 Eastein MAAC 2 Southwest MAAC 3 Rest ofRTO 4 Westein MAAC 5 Doininion 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 4,138,657 4,138,657 4,138,657 4,138,657 4,138,657 702 140 702 140 567 113 702 140 702 140 724 300 724 300 571 237 724 300 724 300 Table 31 Startup Production and Fuel Consumption During Testing anergy Production -Fuel Coiisuniptioii Biergy Biergy Produced Price (MWh) (X/MCVh) 215,000 627 215,000 548 215,000 416 215,000 548 215,000 548 546,788 627 546,788 548 546,788 416 546,788 548 546,788 54.8 Biergy Sales ( $ i n ) 135 118 89 118 118 343 300 228 300 30.0 Natural Gas Natural NG Gas Price Cost Fuel Oil Fuel Oil Price (MMBtii) (MMBtii) 75,060 219 75,060 219 75,060 219 75,060 219 75,060 219 75,060 221 75,060 221 75,060 221 75,060 221 75,060 22I Fuel Oil Cost (Xni) 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 Total c o s t ($111) 221 390 405 390 390 -2 65 166 256 166 1 66 Soirrces orid Notes: Energy production and fuel consuinption froiii CH2M HILL Engineers, Energy and fuel prices from Bloomberg (201 I). 6. O&M Mobilization and Startup Inc. (201I). (MMBtii) ($/MMBtii) (Xrii) Concurrent with their estimates of O&M and service agreement costs presented in Sections 30V.CV.EV.E and X, Wood Group has provided estimates of pre-operation mobilization costs. These costs summarized in Table 32 would be incurred during construction in the last year prior to the commercial online date. Additional supporting details for these estimates are included in Appendix C. 30 Number 2. distillate and WTI Cushing crude oil futures from Bloomberg (2011). 3 1 Mapping is based on the portion of price nodes in each zone that are combined for the aggregate hub node price. 27PDF Image | THE APPLICATION OF KENTUCKY POWER
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