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DRAFT (Final version will be included inthe Electricity Market Module Assumptions Document) Table 8.2 Cost arid Performance Characteristics of New Central Station Electricity Generating Technologies AE02013 Early Release Technology ScrubbedCoal New' IntegratedCoal Gasification Comb Cycle (IGCC]' PulverizedCoal with carbon sequestration Conv Gasloti CombCycle Adv Gas/Od Comb Cycle (CC) AdvCC with carbon Sequestration Conv Comb TurbineB AdvCombTurbine FuelCells Adv Nuclear DistributedGeneration . Bare Distributed Generation - Peak Biomass Geothermal" MSW-LandfillGas Conventional Hydropower' Wind Wind Offshore Solar Thermal' Photovoltaic' lo Leadtime (years) 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 6 3 2 4 4 3 Online Sire Year' (MW) 2016 1300 2016 1200 2017 650 2015 620 2015 400 2017 340 2014 85 2014 210 2015 10 2018 2236 2015 2 2015 1 2016 50 2013 50 2013 50 2016 500 2013 100 2016 400 2015 100 3 2014 150 2 Base Overnight Cost in 2012 (2011$/kW) 2,694 3,475 4,662 858 931 1,833 910 632 6,045 4,700 1,395 1,675 3,685 2,444 7.858 Project Technological Contingency Optimism Factor' Factor' 107 100 107 100 107 103 1os 100 108 100 108 104 105 100 105 100 105 110 110 105 105 100 105 100 107 102 105 100 107 100 110 100 107 100 110 125 1 07 100 Total Overnight Cost in 2Olz4 (2011$/kW) 2.883 3,718 5,138 901 1.006 2,059 956 664 6,982 5.429 1,465 1,759 4.041 2,567 8,408 2,397 2,175 6,121 4,979 3,805 Variable O&Ms (2011$/MWh) 4 39 7 09 4 37 3 54 3 21 6 66 15 18 10 19 0 00 2 10 7 62 7 62 5 17 0 00 8 51 2 60 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 Fixed O&M (2Oll$/kW) 30 64 5049 65 31 12 94 15 10 3 1 23 7 21 6 92 357 47 9165 17 14 17 14 103 79 11094 381 74 1457 38 86 7271 66 09 21 37 Heatrate' In2012 (Btu/kWh) 8,800 8,700 12,000 7,050 6.430 7.525 10,850 9,750 9,500 10,452 9,038 10.042 13,500 9,756 13,648 9,756 9,756 9,756 9,756 9,756 nth-of-a- kind Heatrate (Btu/kWh) 8,740 7,450 9,316 6,800 6.333 7,493 10,450 8,550 6,960 10,452 8,900 9,880 13,500 9,756 13,648 9,756 9,756 9,756 9,756 9,756 4 3 4 2,179 2,032 4,452 4,653 3,624 105 100 'Online year represents the first year that a new unit could be completed, given an order date of 2012 For wind, geothermal and landfill gas, the online year was moved earlier to acknowledge the significant market activity already occuring in anticipation of the expiration of the Production Tax Credit 'A contingencyallowanceisdefinedbytheAmericanAssociationofCostEngineersasthe"specificprovisionforunforeseeableelementsofcostswithinadefinedprojectscope;particularlyimportant where previous experience has shown that unforeseeable events which will increase costs are likely to occur" 'The technological optimism factor is applied to the first four units of a new, unproven design, it reflects the demonstrated tendency to underestimate actual costsfor a first-of-a-kind unit 'Overnight capital cost including contingency factors, excluding regional multipliers and learning effects Interest charges are also excluded These represent costs of new projects initiated in 2012 'O&M = Operations and maintenance 'For hydro, wind, solar and geothermal technologies. the heatrate shown represents the average heatrate for conventional thermal generation as of 2011 This is used for purposes of calculating primaw energy consumption displaced for these resources, and does not imply an estimate of their actual energy conversion efficiency 'Capital costs are shown before investment tax credits are applied 'Combustion turbine units can be built by the model prior to 2014 if necessary to meet a given region's reserve margin 'Because geothermal and hydro cost and performance characteristics are specific for each site, the table entries represent the cost of the least expensive plant that could be built in the Northwest Power Pool region, where most of the proposed sites are located "Costs andcapacitiesareexpressedintermsofnetACpoweravailabletothegridfortheinstalledcapacity Sources: For the AE02013, EIA updated cost estimates for utility-scale electric generating plants, based on a draft report provided by external consultants This report will be provided on the EIA websitewhenfinalized SitespecificcostsforgeothermalwereprovidedbytheNationalEnergyRenewableLaboratow,"UpdatedU5 GeothermalSupplyCUNe",February2010PDF Image | THE APPLICATION OF KENTUCKY POWER
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