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In simulation studies, recently performed by IDB for the case of Mexico, it was determined that CTF resources provided as a full grant and directed to subsidize an insurance premium allow coverage for 3 times as many projects as if they were provided as a 25% grant–75% loan mix. Given the limited resources available and the higher cost of geothermal development in Chile relative to other countries, the GoC would welcome consideration by the CTF TFC of providing an optimal grant/loan ratio in order to maximize the number of projects that can be supported and thus the possibility of enhancing risk diversification, economies of scale, and the demonstration potential of the program. Figure 4 below illustrates the different leverage potential of CTF resources in the Mexican simulation, based on the different types of CTF contribution (full grant or grant-loan mix) and type of risk mitigation mechanism (insurance vs. guarantee). Figure 4. Leverage potential / number of projects that can be supported based on the risk mitigation tool and the type of concessional finance received (Mexican case) The financing instruments and implementation arrangements of the MiRiG will be defined during project preparation, after completing the necessary due diligence analysis. The following section presents an overview of aspects to be analyzed at that stage. Program financing sources (see Table 9) will be more clearly determined as project preparation advances. As the two variables described above (risk mitigation mechanism and type of CTF contribution) are defined, the estimated benefits and target values for the indicators will be estimated. The project preparation and approval timeline will require some insight from the early stages of preparation (possibility and timing of developing an insurance product, for example) to be defined. Project preparation Project preparation will encompass the following assessments, as needed: 1. Geothermal status survey. At this stage there will be a survey of the status of each geothermal project. The objective is to determine the potential portfolio of projects in need of financial and/or risk mitigation support as well as to understand the specific status of each of them, including level of Page |24PDF Image | CLEAN TECHNOLOGY FUND INVESTMENT PLAN FOR CHILE
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