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resource confirmation, expected costs (drilling, transmission, etc.), timeframe (drilling schedule, feasibility studies, project development, negotiation / confirmation of funding, etc.) and current access to capital for each project. This will help determine more precisely: The kind of support required for each project (both financial and technical assistance support). The specific cost profile of each project until they reach the stage where they can access commercial funding. The time needed for the development of each project. Understanding this will contribute to the determination of the optimal choices of financial instruments and funds allocation mechanisms. Fundraising capacity and funding options for each project (access to equity and debt), to understand the instrument and level of financing needed in each case. This includes financial and contractual commitments (PPAs, for example) that projects already have. 2. Market analysis, sector regulation and policy context. In addition to the analysis of the projects, a review of all aspects of financial and electricity markets in Chile will be conducted, including analysis of the policy and regulatory aspects most relevant to the development of the sector. In particular, the analysis will include: The policy and regulatory framework of the sector, and gaps that hinder their development or opportunities for developing incentives The capabilities of the developers / existing sponsors, and strengthening opportunities The availability and interest of potential funders for the geothermal sector, including banks, investment funds, other financial agents, bilateral agencies and multilateral agencies. The interest and ability of insurers to develop an insurance product. The electricity market in terms of potential off-takers who could offer a PPA, as well as of market price levels and their possible evolution based on supply and demand projections. Availability of necessary equipment and technology, and development opportunities. 3. Assessment of the viability of developing an insurance instrument adequate to the Chilean context. In coordination with the ongoing work for the Mexico program, the team will advance the exploration of the feasibility of developing a geothermal resource risk insurance product. The team will determine the interest of the insurance companies, the relevance of the various models of insurance, the type of coverage that could be offered, the indicative costs of the policies, the processes and time required to develop such an insurance product, and the possibility of developing a portfolio of projects that allows to diversify the risk and reduce the cost of the insurance premium. 4. Modeling of the options of risk mitigation instruments. Based on the status and costs of ongoing geothermal projects in Chile, and capitalizing on the analytical model developed for the Mexico program, various scenarios will be modeled for Chile using different mitigation instruments (insurance, guarantee, subordinated debt, capital contribution, among others) to assess the coverage potential, cost-effectiveness and leverage of each of these options. Also the minimum requirements and critical mass of resources (CTF and other sources) needed to ensure the success and sustainability of the program will be assessed for each case. Besides the type of instrument, in this analysis the following variables will be modeled: Subsidy levels of the insurance premium or other forms of subsidy / concessionality Type of CTF contribution (grant vs. loan) Page |25PDF Image | CLEAN TECHNOLOGY FUND INVESTMENT PLAN FOR CHILE
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