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development and associated costs have important consequences for a geothermal project’s financial feasibility, as lenders are unlikely to be willing to finance these activities. They are likely to require equity capital from the developers, and not many of them are willing to put such sums at risk. This is the stage where government risk-sharing can come in to complement private sector resources, either through a joint public private partnership or some other financial instruments. Figure 11: Geothermal Project Risks and Investment Costs Trajectories Source: Authors’ estimates 81. The fundamental issue in all of the cases where the private sector is expected to participate lies in the risk allocation, particularly at the drilling phase of the exploration stage. The Mexican/Costa Rican approach, where the Government stands behind the investments and takes the drilling risk is optimal for private investors, with possible private participation in EPC. The El Salvador approach, where the public company is strengthened through a strategic partner willing to provide additional capital also provides a successful model to address the exploration risk issue. Finally, the approach of the other countries, where concessions are awarded either on demand or following a bidding process, are those where the private sector is least likely to take on the responsibility for exploration drilling, and the subsequent development. In fact, the 35PDF Image | Drilling Down on Geothermal Potential Central America
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