Drilling Down on Geothermal Potential Central America

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Drilling Down on Geothermal Potential Central America ( drilling-down-geothermal-potential-central-america )

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even if geothermal has become more economically competitive in the power market with decades of on and off public support, the industry is still not fully sustainable in the long run. 89. This mechanism is being used in the Philippines in the last few years after the power sector was privatized and also in Nicaragua, among developing countries. In the Philippines, the Renewable Energy Act, effective in 2009, provides a series of incentives and subsidies to limit the exploration and drilling risks. A new Renewable Energy Management Bureau was established in 2009 and is responsible for tendering and concessions. Power producers will be able to negotiate PPAs (the Act specifies feed in tariffs for renewables, but does not include geothermal), or sell on the spot market. After a period of limited development in the geothermal sector in the early 2000s, there now appears to be a huge interest from foreign power companies within the country. 90. The challenge of this approach is to gauge the actual and perceived country, sector and project-related risks by the IPPs and to design a package of incentives commensurate with such risks. In the Philippines, it is still too early to tell whether the incentives put in place are adequate to address the related risks and lead to tangible outcomes. It appears that private companies in the Philippines are keen on acquiring operational geothermal power plants from the public utilities, but are reluctant to invest in green-field development and take on all of the associated risks. In Nicaragua, only some of the concessions for exploration are being actively explored and it is unclear whether and how many of them will successfully develop into commercial projects; Nicaragua’s fiscal incentives do not appear to be sufficient to incentivize substantial interest 91. A third mechanism is to separate steam production and power generation. It has been used in several countries, including Indonesia and Guatemala. The two parties involved will need to sign a contractual steam sales agreement which may include a “take or pay” clause. The steam producer, a public (Guatemala) or private (Indonesia) company, bears all resource risk and the power producer, an IPP or a national utility, is only responsible for the conventional risk of the financing and construction of the power plants. As discussed in the case of Indonesia, this mechanism has the benefit of distinguishing the upfront and downstream risks and selecting the most competent companies in each operation. However, it has a high risk of failure, sometimes for reasons outside of the control of the partnership, e.g. the financial difficulty of the power generator in paying the steam supplier or the steam supplier failing to provide the amount of steam as agreed upon. 92. A fourth mechanism is a joint venture between the Government and the private company to develop potential fields which have been estimated initially by the Government (e.g. site reconnaissance, geophysical, geochemical and perhaps seismic studies and maybe gradient drillings). The private sector would thus be in a better position to evaluate the risk of the field. In a risk-sharing approach, the Government and a private partner would create a joint venture to explore the field. If the drilling is successful, the Government could exercise an option to sell its stake in the joint venture, thereby enabling it to recycle funds for further developments; if unsuccessful, the joint venture would be wound up but the private partner will have limited its risk substantially. Such a mechanism has been used in project finance deals in other areas but has not been applied in the field of electrical energy. Other types of joint venture include BOT arrangements where the private sector builds, operates, and transfers the field and its facilities to the Government after a certain time. 38

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