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World primary energy demand by scenario 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Current Policies Scenario New Policies Scenario 450 Scenario 2030 2035 In 2035, energy demand is 8% higher in the Current Policies Scenario and 11% lower in the 450 Scenario than in the New Policies Scenario Shares of energy sources in world primary demand by scenario Current Policies Scenario 2035 New Policies Scenario 2035 450 Scenario 2035 2008 Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Biomass Other renewables 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% The share of fossil fuels in the energy mix in 2035 varies markedly, from 79% in the Current Policies Scenario to 74% in the New Policies Scenario & 62% in the 450 Scenario 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 Oil Coal Gas Biomass Nuclear Other renewables Hydro 2030 2035 World primary energy demand by fuel in the New Policies Scenario 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Global primary energy demand grows in the New Policies Scenario by 36% between 2008 & 2035, with natural gas rising the most in absolute terms 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 Current Policies Scenario New Policies Scenario 450 Scenario 2030 2035 World primary oil demand by scenario 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Global oil use continues to expand on announced policies, reaching 99 mb/d by 2035, but would need to fall to little more than 80 mb/d to achieve the climate goal World primary energy demand by region in the New Policies Scenario 18 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Global energy use grows in the New Policies Scenario by 36%, with n on-OECD countries – led by China, where demand surges by 75% – accounting for almost all of the increase Rest of world 16 000 China 14 000 OECD Incremental primary energy demand in the New Policies Scenario,2008-2035 Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Other renewables - 600 - 300 0 OECD China Rest of world 300 600 900 1 200 1 500 Mtoe Demand for all types of energy increases in non-OECD countries, while demand for coal & oil declines in the OECD 63 Mtoe Mtoe Mtoe mb/dPDF Image | Economic Perspectives of Renewable Energy Systems
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