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60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 23% Nuclear Renewables 2 250 2 000 1 750 1 500 1 250 1 000 750 500 250 0 OECD Non-OECD Share of nuclear and renewable energy in total electricity generation by region in the New Policies Scenario Incremental renewables-based electricity in the New Policies Scenario, 2008-2035 14% 14% 14% 21% 22% 8% 19% 24% 32% 17% 24% 33% 23% 31% 0% 2008 2020 2035 2008 2020 2035 2008 2020 2035 World OECD Non-OECD Wind Hydro Biomass Solar PV CSP Geothermal Marine Renewable sources (including hydro) and nuclear power are projected to account for 45% of total global generation by 2035, up from 32% today Global electricity generation from renewables by scenario Most of the increase in renewable electricity generation between 2008 and 2035 comes from wind and hydropower, which contribute 36% and 31% of the additional demand Electricity from renewables increases from 3 800 TWh to 11 200 TWh in the New Policies Scenario; it rises to 8900 TWh in Current Policies Scenario & 14 500 TWh in 450 Scenario World energy-related CO2 emissions by scenario On average, the cost of onshore wind power is cut by a third between 2010 and 2035; the cost of PV is cut by two-thirds 5% 21% 7% 15 000 12 000 9 000 6 000 3 000 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 450 Scenario New Policies Scenario Current Policies Scenario Electricity generating costs ofrenewables in the New Policies Scenario Marine Concentrating solar power Solar PV Biomass Hydro Wind: offshore Wind: onshore Geothermal 2010 2020 2035 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Dollars per MWh 350 400 45 40 35 30 25 20 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 WEO-2010: Current Policies Scenario WEO - 2 0 0 9: Reference Scenario WEO-2010: New Policies Scenario WEO - 2 0 1 0: 450 Scenario WEO - 2 0 0 9: 450 Scenario World energy-related CO2 emissions savings in the 450 Scenario compared with the Current Policies Scenario, by measure Gt TWh TWh 45 Gt 40 35 30 25 20 2008 Current Policies Scenario 450 Scenario 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Efficiency – End-use (direct) – End-use (indirect) – Power plants Renewables Biofuels Nuclear CCS Total(GtCO2) Abatement 2020 2030 2035 71% 49% 48% 34% 24% 24% 33% 23% 23% 3% 2% 1% 18% 21% 21% 1 % 3% 3% 9% 8% 17% 19% 3.5 15.1 20.9 7 % 2 % Stronger economic recovery and the lack of ambition of 2020 pledges mean that emissions cuts after 2020 need to be both deeper and faster than those presented in WEO-2009 After 2020, the share of energy efficiency in total abatement declines, while more costly options like biofuels and CCS increase their share 65PDF Image | Economic Perspectives of Renewable Energy Systems
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