Energy­ Sector Fundamentals

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Energy­ Sector Fundamentals ( energy­-sector-fundamentals )

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9.7 Economics and Cost of Energy Table 9.1 continued Chapter 9 Energy­Sector Fundamentals: Economic Analysis, Projections, and Supply Curves Category Power production and market performance Duration Cost Risk Bid long based on expected delivery costs Routine and Low High recurring Estimate competitive fuel and delivery costs for existing Routine and Low High Enter power purchase agreement Infrequent Moderate High base­load power recurring 9.8 Using Levelized Costs for Comparison Geothermal energy – which is transformed into delivered energy (electricity or direct heat) – is an extremely capital­intensive and technology­dependent industry. The capital investment may be characterized in three distinct phases: 9­9 a) Exploration and drilling of test and production wells b) Construction of power conversion facilities c) Discounted future redrilling and well stimulation. Previous estimates of capital cost by the California Energy Commission (CEC, 2006), showed that capital reimbursement and interest charges accounted for 65% of the total cost of geothermal power. The remainder covers fuel (water), parasitic pumping loads, labor and access charges, and variable costs. By way of contrast, the capital costs of combined­cycle natural gas plants are estimated to represent only about 22% of the levelized cost of energy produced, with fuel accounting for up to 75% of the delivered cost of energy. Given the high initial capital cost, most EGS facilities will deliver base­load power to grid operations under a long­term power purchase agreement (typically greater than 10 years) in order to acquire funding for the capital investment. We have assumed that loan life will typically be 30 years, and that the life span of surface capital facilities will be 70 years with incremental improvements or repairs to the installed technology during that period. We assume that the life of the well field will be 30 years with periodic (approximately seven to 10 years) redrilling, fracturing, and hydraulic stimulation during that period. At the end of a 30­year cycle, the well complex is assumed to be abandoned, but the surface facilities can service new well complexes through extension of piping and delivery systems with no appreciable loss. Delivered cost of energy is, thus, a function of this stream of capital investment and refurbishment, and ongoing operations and delivery costs. The upshot of this analytical technique is to allow comparison with existing fossil and other renewable technologies such as wind and hydroelectric, where similar capital facility life span can be expected. The delivered cost of electricity is the primary criterion for any electric power generation technology. The levelized cost of energy (or levelized electricity cost, LEC) is the most common approach used for

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