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912 Figure 9.2 Projected levelized electricity generating costs, 2005 and 2020. Chapter 9 EnergySector Fundamentals: Economic Analysis, Projections, and Supply Curves 9.8.3 Levelized cost projections 765432 Variable costs (incl. fuel) Fixed costs Capital costs The EIA has estimated the cost of future energy supplies out to 2020 in the latest Annual Energy Outlook (EIA, 2005). As shown in Figure 9.2, the baseload cost of coal is projected to fall due to decreases led by savings in capital costs, and nuclear energy costs are also projected to decrease during the same period. However, historically, the costs of both technologies have been showing a tendency to increase when technology improvements to meet air quality standards and mitigate other environmental externalities or safety issues are taken into account. Also, fuel costs for both technologies are increasing in commodity markets: coal due to the transportation costs for “clean” varieties, and nuclear because of increases in the costs due to a decrease in supply of uranium. 1 0 2005 2020 Coal Gas Wind Nuclear Coal Gas Wind Nuclear combined combined cycle cycle Electricity cost (2000 cents/kWh)PDF Image | Energy Sector Fundamentals
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