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Table 6. Present and future estimated soil use in Latin America and the Caribbean Potential Potential area Soil use Food Exports Biofuels Firewood Total Increase area corrected ha Mha Mha Mha Mha Mha Mha % % 2005 114 - 2010 139 2 2015 149 12 2020 156 25 2025 162 31 2030 171 36 2 5.5 122 4 4.8 150 5.7 4.2 172 9.5 3.6 194 9.7 3.1 207 10 2.7 220 - - - 28 4.9 11.4 49 8.4 19.8 72 12.3 28.9 85 14.4 33.8 98 16.7 39.3 Source: D.L. Gazzoni, non published data. As for the conflict between the use of soil for biofuel production instead of other agricultural products, Table 1 shows that, in 2010, only 4.9 percent of the potential arable land established by FAO was in use in LAC’s countries. And out of the total cultivated area, only 3 percent was dedicated to biofuel production. A forecast study anticipated that, by 2030, an estimated 16.7 percent of arable lands will be farmed, and about 10 percent of those lands will be dedicated to biofuel production. Even considering that FAO’s figures were not ambitious as far as environmental protection, global climate change and urbanization are con- cerned, the study considered that only 40 percent of the total could be realistical- ly converted into agricultural lands. In that case, approximately 11.4 percent of the potential arable land will be cultivated in 2010, and the figure should increase to 39.3 percent in 2030. Based on this study, it may be asserted that no conflicts can be foreseen for combining the production of food and other high-demand crops with biofuel production in LAC. RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES 43PDF Image | SUSTAINABLE ENERGY IN LATIN AMERICA CARIBBEAN
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