SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK list of figures 1 figure 1.1 2 figure 2.1 figure 2.2 figure 2.3 figure 2.4 figure 2.5 figure 2.6 figure 2.7 figure 2.8 figure 2.9 figure 2.10 figure 2.11 figure 2.12 3 figure 3.1 figure 3.2 figure 3.3 figure 3.4 4 figure 4.1 figure 4.2 figure 4.3 figure 4.4 figure 4.5 figure 4.6 figure 4.7 figure 4.8 figure 4.9 5 figure 5.1 figure 5.2 figure 5.3 figure 5.4 figure 5.5 figure 5.6 figure 5.7 figure 5.8 ftsm scheme 25 centralised generation systems waste more than two thirds of their original energy input 28 a decentralised energy future 29 the smart-grid vision for the energy [r]evolution 35 a typical load curve throughout europe, shows electricity use peaking and falling on a daily basis 37 the evolving approach to grids 37 renewable energy sources as a share of energy supply in germany 40 renewable energy sources in total final energy consumption in germany 2011/2010 40 phase out of nuclear energy 41 electricity imports/exports germany 41 development of household demand 42 process overview of supply system design by production optimitsation 43 screenshot of PowerFactory grid model 43 return characteristics of renewable energies 50 overview risk factors for renewable energy projects 51 investment stages of renewable energy projects 51 key barriers to renewable energy investment 53 world regions used in the scenarios 58 future development of investment costs for renewable energy technologies 66 expected development of electricity generation costs from fossil fuel and renewable options 66 global oil production 1950 to 2011 and projection till 2050 68 coal scenario: base decline of 2% per year and new projects 68 wind power: short term prognosis vs real market development - global cummulative capacity 69 wind power: long term market projects until 2030 70 photovoltaic: short term prognosis vs real market development - global cummulative capacity 71 photovoltaic: long term market projects until 2030 72 global: final energy intensity under reference scenarioandtheenergyenergy[r]evolutionscenario 75 global: total final energy demand under the reference scenarioandtheenergyenergy[r]evolutionscenario 76 global: development of electricity demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario 77 global: development of the transport demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario global: development of heat demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario 77 global: electricity generation structure under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 78 global: total electricity supply costs & specific electricity generation costs under two scenarios 79 global: investment shares - reference scenario versus energy [r]evolution scenario 80 figure 5.9 figure 5.10 figure 5.11 figure 5.12a figure 5.12b figure 5.13 figure 5.14 figure 5.15 figure 5.16 figure 5.17 global: change in cumulative power plant investment 80 global: heat supply structure under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 81 global: investments for renewable heat generation technologies under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 8 77 6 figure 6.1 7 figure 7.1 figure 7.2 figure 7.3 figure 7.4 figure 7.5 figure 7.6 figure 7.7 figure 7.8 figure 7.9 8 figure 8.1 9 figure 9.1 figure 9.2 figure 9.3 figure 9.4 proportion of fossil fuel and renewable employment at 2010 and 2030 192 global power plant market 1970-2010 199 global power plant market 1970-2010, excl china 200 usa: annual power plant market 1970-2010 200 europe (eu 27): annual power plant market 1970-2010 201 china: annual power plant market 1970-2010 201 power plant market shares 1970-2010 203 historic developments of the global power plant market, by technology 204 global power plant market in 2011 207 global power plant market by region 207 ranges of global technical potentials of renewable energy sources 226 example of the photovoltaic effect 235 photovoltaic technology 235 csp technologies: parabolic trough, central receiver/solar tower and parabolic dish 238 early wind turbine designs, including horizontal and vertical axis turbines 239 figures 5.18-5.30 figures 5.31-5.43 figures 5.44-5.56 figures 5.57-5.69 figures 5.70-5.82 figures 5.83-5.96 figures 5.96-5.108 figures 5.109-5.121 figures 5.122-5.134 figures 5.135-5.147 north america latin america oecd europe 108 africa 118 middle east 128 eastern europe/eurasia 138 india 148 non oecd asia 158 china 168 oecd asia oceania 178 global: employment in the energy scenario under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenarios global: proportion of fossil fuel and renewable employment at 2010 and 2030 global: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario global: primary energy consumption under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario global: regional breakdown of CO2 emissions in the energy [r]evolution in 2050 global: development of CO2 emissions by sector under the energy [r]evolution scenarios global: CO2 emissions by sector in the energy [r]evolution in 2050 82 82 84 85 86 87 87 87 88 98

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