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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK Energy efficiency is a sleeping giant – offering the most cost competitive way to reform the energy sector.There is enormous potential for reducing our consumption of energy, while providing the same level of energy services. New business models to implement energy efficiency must be developed and must get more political support.This study details a series of energy efficiency measures which can substantially reduce demand across industry, homes, business and services as well as transport. the energy [r]evolution key principles The expert consensus is that this fundamental shift in the way we consume and generate energy must begin immediately and be well underway within the next ten years in order to avert the worst impacts of climate change.4 The scale of the challenge requires a complete transformation of the way we produce, consume and distribute energy, while maintaining economic growth. The five key principles behind this Energy [R]evolution will be to: • Implement renewable solutions, especially through decentralised energy systems and grid expansions • Respect the natural limits of the environment • Phase out dirty, unsustainable energy sources • Create greater equity in the use of resources • Decouple economic growth from the consumption of fossil fuels Decentralised energy systems, where power and heat are produced close to the point of final use reduce grid loads and energy losses in distribution. Investments in ‘climate infrastructure’ such as smart interactive grids and transmission grids to transport large quantities of offshore wind and concentrating solar power are essential. Building up clusters of renewable micro grids, especially for people living in remote areas, will be a central tool in providing sustainable electricity to the almost two billion people around who currently don’t have access to electricity. the energy [r]evolution – key results Renewable energy sources account for 13.5% of the world’s primary energy demand in 2009.The main source is biomass, which is mostly used in the heat sector. For electricity generation renewables contribute about 19.3% and for heat supply, around 25%, much of this is from traditional uses such as firewood. About 81% of the primary energy supply today still comes from fossil fuels and 5.5% from nuclear energy. The Energy [R]evolution scenario describes development pathways to a sustainable energy supply, achieving the urgently needed CO2 reduction target and a nuclear phase-out, without unconventional oil resources.The results of the Energy [R]evolution scenario which will be achieved through the following measures: • Curbing global energy demand: The world’s energy demand is projected by combining population development, GDP growth and energy intensity. Under the Reference scenario, total primary energy demand increases by 61% from about 500 EJ (Exajoules) per year in 2009 to 806 EJ per year in 2050. In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, demand increases by only 10% compared to current consumption until 2020 and decreases slightly afterwards to 2009 levels. • Controlling global power demand: Under the Energy [R]evolution scenario, electricity demand is expected to increase disproportionately, the main growth in households and services. With adequate efficiency measures, however, a higher increase can be avoided, leading to electricity demand of around 41,000 TWh/a in 2050. Compared to the Reference scenario, efficiency measures avoid the generation of 12,800 TWh/a. • Reducing global heating demand: Efficiency gains in the heat supply sector are even larger than in the electricity sector. Under the Energy [R]evolution scenario, final demand for heat supply can eventually be reduced significantly. Compared to the Reference scenario, consumption equivalent to 46,500 PJ/a is avoided through efficiency measures by 2050.The lower demand can be achieved by energy-related renovation of the existing stock of residential buildings, introduction of low energy standards; even ‘energy-plus-houses’ for new buildings, so people can enjoy the same comfort and energy services. projections to reality Projection of global installed wind power capacity at the end of 2010 in the first Global Energy [R]evolution, published in January 2007. >> 156 GW Actual global installed wind capacity at the end of 2010. >> 197 GW While at the end of 2011 already 237 GW have been installed. More needs to be done. 16 references 4 IPCC – SPECIAL REPORT RENEWABLES, CHAPTER 1, MAY 2011.PDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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