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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK In contrast, the IEA “Current Policy” projections seriously under estimated the wind industry’s ability to increase manufacturing capacity and reduce costs. In 2000, the IEA WEO published a projections of global installed capacity for wind turbines of 32,500 MW for 2010.This capacity had been connected to the 4 gridbyearly2003,onlytwo-and-a-halfyearslater.By2010,the global wind capacity was close to 200,000 MW; around six times more than the IEA’s assumption a decade earlier. figure 4.7: wind power: long term market projects until 2030 3,000,000 Only time will tell if the GPI/DLR/GWEC longer-term projections for the global wind industry will remain close to the real market. However the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook projections over the past decade have been constantly increased and keep coming close to our progressive growth rates. 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 MW 0 WF 10 (1999) WF 12 (2002) GWEO 2006 (Advanced) GWEO 2008 (Advanced) GWEO 2008 (Advanced) E[R] 2007 E[R] 2008 ADVANCED E[R] 2010 IEA WEO 2000 (REF) IEA WEO 2002 (REF) IEA WEO 2005 (REF) IEA WEO 2007 (REF) IEA WEO 2009 (REF) IEA WEO 2010 (REF) IEA WEO 2010 (450ppm) IEA WEO 2011 (REF) IEA WEO 2011 (450ppm) 2010 2015 2020 181,252 537,059 1,209,466 233,905 610,000 1,261,157 153,759 391,077 1,074,835 186,309 485,834 1,080,886 0 533,233 1,071,415 156,149 552,973 949,796 163,855 398,716 893,317 493,542 1,140,492 32,500 41,550 50,600 55,000 83,500 112,000 107,541 162,954 218,367 123,660 228,205 345,521 158,864 292,754 417,198 197,637 337,319 477,000 197,637 394,819 592,000 238,351 379,676 521,000 238,351 449,676 661,000 2030 2,545,232 2,571,000 2,110,401 2,375,000 2,341,984 1,834,286 1,621,704 2,241,080 195,000 374,694 440,117 595,365 662,000 1,148,000 749,000 1,349,000 70 scenarios for a future energy supply | REVIEW: GREENPEACE SCENARIO PROJECTIONS OF THE PASTPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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