SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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image THE PS20 SOLAR TOWER PLANT SITS AT SANLUCAR LA MAYOR OUTSIDE SEVILLE, SPAIN. THE FIRST COMMERCIAL SOLAR TOWER PLANT IN THE WORLD IS OWNED BY THE SPANISH COMPANY SOLUCAR (ABENGOA) AND CAN PROVIDE ELECTRICITY FOR UP TO 6,000 HOMES. SOLUCAR (ABENGOA) PLANS TO BUILD A TOTAL OF 9 SOLAR TOWERS OVER THE NEXT 7 YEARS TO PROVIDE ELECTRICITY FOR AN ESTIMATED 180,000 HOMES. image MAINTENANCE WORKERS FIX THE BLADES OF A WINDMILL AT GUAZHOU WIND FARM NEAR YUMEN IN GANSU PROVINCE, CHINA. figure 5.3: global: development of electricity demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) figure 5.5: global: development of heat demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) 150,000 120,000 90,000 60,000 30,000 PJ/a 0 200,000 160,000 120,000 80,000 40,000 PJ/a 0 TRANSPORT figure 5.4: global: development of the transport demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario The energy demand in the industry sector will grow in both scenarios. While the economic growth rates in the Reference and the Energy [R]evolution scenario are identical, the growth of the overall energy demand is different due to a faster increase of the energy intensity in the alternative case. Decoupling economic growth with the energy demand is key to reach a sustainable energy supply. By 2050, the Energy [R]evolution scenario requires 40% less than the Reference scenario. 5 E[R] 2009 E[R] 2015 E[R] 2020 E[R] 2030 E[R] 2040 E[R] 2050 E[R] E[R] E[R] 2009 2015 2020 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • OTHER SECTORS • INDUSTRY E[R] E[R] E[R] 2030 2040 2050 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ •OTHER SECTORS • INDUSTRY 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ •DOMESTIC NAVIGATION •DOMESTIC AVIATION • ROAD RAIL E[R] E[R] E[R] E[R] 2009 2015 2020 2030 E[R] E[R] 2040 2050 77 © GP/MARKEL REDONDO © GP/MARKEL REDONDO key results | GLOBAL - DEMAND

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