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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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5 REF 2011 - 2050 Total $ 22,191 billion E[R] 2011 - 2050 Total $ 50,401 billion 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 •FOSSIL & NUCLEAR E[R] VS REF RENEWABLE E[R] VS REF WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK global GLOBAL SCENARIO OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA figure 5.8: global: investment shares - reference scenario versus energy [r]evolution scenario figure 5.9: global: change in cumulative power plant investment 6% 17% 45% 32% 5% 10% 85% CHP NUCLEAR RENEWABLES FOSSIL FOSSIL CHP RENEWABLES 2011-2020 2021-2030 2031-2040 2041-2050 2011-2050 • Because renewable energy except biomasss has no fuel costs, however, the fuel cost savings in the Energy [R]evolution scenario reach a total of about $ 52,800 billion up to 2050, or $ 1,320 billion per year. The total fuel cost savings therefore would cover two times the total additional investments compared to the Reference scenario.These renewable energy sources would then go on to produce electricity without any further fuel costs beyond 2050, while the costs for coal and gas will continue to be a burden on national economies. table 5.2: global: investment costs for electricity generation and fuel cost savings under the energy [r]evolution scenario compared to the reference scenario INVESTMENT COSTS DIFFERENCE E[R] VERSUS REF Conventional (fossil & nuclear) Renewables Total CUMULATIVE FUEL COST SAVINGS $ billion $ billion $ billion $ 2011 - 2020 -1,780 4,596 2,816 304 -209.1 625 42 762 2021 - 2030 -2,310 8,087 5,777 1,088 1,837 3,152 185 6,262 2031 - 2040 -2,108 10,896 8,788 1,252 7,731 7,155 245 16,382 2041 - 2050 -2,108 10,896 8,788 1,107 16,886 11,140 259 29,390 2011 - 2050 -8,508 36,720 28,213 3,750 26,244 22,072 731 52,797 2011 - 2050 AVERAGE PER ANNUM -213 918 705 94 656 552 18 1,320 SAVINGS CUMULATIVE E[R] VERSUS REF Fuel oil Gas Hard coal Lignite Total billion $/a billion $/a billion $/a billion $/a billion $/a 80 US$ billion key results | GLOBAL - INVESTMENT

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