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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK global GLOBAL SCENARIO OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA global: primary energy consumption Taking into account the assumptions discussed above, the resulting primary energy consumption under the Energy [R]evolution scenario is 5 shown in Figure 5.14. Compared to the Reference scenario, overall primary energy demand will be reduced by 40% in 2050. The Energy [R]evolution scenario would even achieve a renewable energy share of 41% by 2030 and 82% by 2050. In this projection almost the entire global electricity supply, including the majority of the energy used in buildings and industry, would come from renewable energy sources. The transport sector, in particular aviation and shipping, would be the last sector to become fossil fuel free. figure 5.14: global: primary energy consumption under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ •OCEAN ENERGY • GEOTHERMAL • SOLAR • BIOMASS • WIND • HYDRO •NATURAL GAS • OIL • COAL NUCLEAR key results | GLOBAL - PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION 86 REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] 2040 REF E[R] 2050

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