SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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image CONTROL ROOM OF LUZ SOLAR POWER PLANT, CALIFORNIA, USA. image LUZ INTERNATIONAL SOLAR POWER PLANT, CALIFORNIA, USA. figure 5.19: oecd north america: development of electricity demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) figure 5.21: oecd north america: development of heat demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ •OTHER SECTORS • INDUSTRY TRANSPORT 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ •OTHER SECTORS • INDUSTRY 5 E[R] E[R] E[R] 2009 2015 2020 E[R] E[R] E[R] 2030 2040 2050 E[R] E[R] E[R] 2009 2015 2020 E[R] E[R] E[R] 2030 2040 2050 figure 5.20: oecd north america: development of the transport demand by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenario In the transport sector, it is assumed under the Energy [R]evolution scenario that energy demand will decrease by 67% to 9,554 PJ/a by 2050, saving 69% compared to the Reference scenario.The Energy [R]evolution scenario factors in a faster decrease of the final energy demand for transport.This can be achieved through a mix of increased public transport, reduced annual person kilometres and wider use of more efficient engines and electric drives. Consequently, electricity demand in the transport sector increases, the final energy use of fossil fuels falls to 1,451 PJ/a, compared to 27,203 PJ/a in the Reference case. 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ •DOMESTIC NAVIGATION • RAIL •DOMESTIC AVIATION ROAD E[R] E[R] E[R] E[R] 2009 2015 2020 2030 E[R] E[R] 2040 2050 89 © JAMES PEREZ/GP © JAMES PEREZ/GP key results | OECD NORTH AMERICA - DEMAND

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