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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK oecd north america GLOBAL SCENARIO OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA oecd north america: development of CO2 emissions 5 Whilst the OECD North America’s emissions of CO2 will decrease by 2% under the Reference scenario, under the Energy [R]evolution scenario they will decrease from 6,119 million tonnes in 2009 to 204 million tonnes in 2050. Annual per capita emissions will fall from 13.4 tonne (2009) to 0.3 tonne (2050). In the long run efficiency gains and the increased use of renewable electricity in vehicles will even reduce emissions in the transport sector.With a share of 42% of total CO2 in 2050, the transport sector will remain the largest sources of emissions. By 2050, OECD North America’s CO2 emissions are 4% of 1990 levels. oecd north america: primary energy consumption Taking into account the above assumptions, the resulting primary energy consumption under the Energy [R]evolution scenario is shown in Figure 5.30. Compared to the Reference scenario, overall energy demand will be reduced by 42% in 2050. Around 87% of the remaining demand will be covered by renewable energy sources. The Energy [R]evolution version phases out coal and oil about 10 to 15 years faster than the previous Energy [R]evolution scenario published in 2010.This is made possible mainly by replacement of coal power plants with renewables after 20 rather than 40 years lifetime and a faster introduction of electric vehicles in the transport sector to replace oil combustion engines.This leads to an overall renewable primary energy share of 45% in 2030 and 87% in 2050. Nuclear energy is phased out in just after 2035. MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA figure 5.29: oecd north america: development of CO2 emissions by sector under the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) Mill t/a 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Million people 600 500 400 300 200 100 00 key results | OECD NORTH AMERICA - CO2 EMISSIONS & ENERGY CONSUMPTION figure 5.30: oecd north america: primary energy consumption under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • OCEAN ENERGY • GEOTHERMAL • SOLAR • BIOMASS • WIND • HYDRO •NATURAL GAS • OIL • COAL NUCLEAR REF E[R] 2009 REF E[R] REF E[R] 2015 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] 2040 REF E[R] 2050 • POPULATION DEVELOPMENT •SAVINGS FROM ‘EFFICIENCY’ & RENEWABLES •OTHER SECTORS • INDUSTRY • TRANSPORT POWER GENERATION 96 REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] 2040 REF E[R] 2050PDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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