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image CHILDREN IN THE FLOODED CACAO PEREIRA VILLAGE IN THE AMAZON, BRAZIL. THE NEGRO RIVER ROSE TO 29.77 METERS, SURPASSING THE MARK OF 29.69 METERS REGISTERED IN 1953, THE LAST RECORDED FLOOD. image MAN MADE FIRES NEAR ARAGUAYA RIVER OUTSIDE THE ARAGUAYA NATIONAL PARK. FIRES ARE STARTED TO CLEAR THE LAND FOR FUTURE CATTLE USE. latin america: future investments in the heat sector Also in the heat sector the Energy [R]evolution scenario would require a major revision of current investment strategies in direct heating technologies. Especially the not yet so common solar and up to now nonexistent geothermal and heat pump technologies need an enormous increase in installations, if these potentials are to be tapped for the heat sector. Installed capacity need to increase by the factor of 90 for solar thermal. Geothermal heat and heat pumps even first need to be introduced. Capacity of traditional biomass technologies, which are already rather wide spread need to be replaced by modern, efficient technologies in order to remain a main pillar of direct heat supply. Renewable heating technologies are extremely variable, from low tech biomass stoves and unglazed solar collectors to very sophisticated enhanced geothermal systems and solar themal district heating plants with seasonal storage.Thus it can only roughly be calculated, that the Energy [R]evolution scenario in total requires around $ 698 billion to be invested in direct renewable heating technologies until 2050 (including investments for replacement after the economic lifetime of the plants) - approximately $ 17 billion per year. table 5.15: latin america: renewable heat generation capacities under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario IN GW REF 2011 - 2050 Total $ 234 billion 4% SOLAR 4% HEAT PUMPS 92% BIOMASS 0% GEOTHERMAL E[R] 2011 - 2050 Total $ 698 billion 39% SOLAR 23% GEOTHERMAL 20% BIOMASS Biomass REF E[R] 558 2009 2020 2030 2040 2050 5 607 625 644 667 665 652 647 591 0 0 0 0 52 99 144 146 10 18 31 52 114 208 313 363 1 1 3 5 7 16 33 59 618 644 678 723 839 975 1,135 1,159 Geothermal Solar thermal Heat pumps Total 558 REF 0 E[R] 0 REF 4 E[R] 4 REF 0 E[R] 0 REF 562 E[R] 562 figure 5.39: latin america: investments for renewable heat generation technologies under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 18% HEAT PUMPS 103 © GP/RODRIGO BALÈIA © GP/DANIEL BELTRA key results | LATIN AMERICA - INVESTMENTPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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