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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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image THE INTAKE/OUTLET PIPE FROM THE ANGRA NUCLEAR REACTOR FROM WHICH SEAWATER USED TO COOL THE POWER PLANT IS POURED BACK INTO THE SEA. A POPULAR SWIMMING SPOT BECAUSE OF THE WARMED WATER, THERE IS NO WARNING SIGN. BRAZIL. image ANGRA 1 AND 2 NUCLEAR POWER STATION. IF BNP PARIBAS FINANCING GOES AHEAD, A THIRD REACTOR ANGRA 3 WILL BE BUILT USING DANGEROUSLY OBSOLETE TECHNOLOGY BURDENING BRAZIL WITH A REACTOR THAT WOULD NOT BE PERMITTED IN THE COUNTRIES THAT ARE FINANCING IT. latin america: transport Despite a huge growth in transport services, the energy consumption in the transport sector by 2050 can be limited to the current level in the Energy [R]evolution scenario. Dependency on fossil fuels, which now account for 89% of this supply, is gradually transformed by using 15% renewable energy by 2030 and 35% by 2030.The electricity share in the transport sector further increases up to 21% by 2050. A shift towards smaller cars triggered by economic incentives together with a significant shift in propulsion technology towards electrified power trains and a reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled per year leads to significant energy savings. In 2030, electricity will provide 14% of the transport sector’s total energy demand in the Energy [R]evolution, while in 2050 the share will be 43%. table 5.17: latin america: transport energy demand by mode under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (WITHOUT ENERGY FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORT) IN PJ/A Rail REF E[R] 2009 2020 106 140 106 174 4,995 6,458 4,995 5,649 152 238 152 222 111 145 111 132 5,364 6,982 5,364 6,177 2030 2040 2050 5 164 186 220 240 336 432 7,526 8,447 9,844 5,319 4,763 4,482 329 437 561 280 328 309 170 192 330 143 159 166 8,189 9,263 10,955 5,982 5,586 5,389 Road Domestic aviation Domestic navigation Total REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] figure 5.41: latin america: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • HYDROGEN • ELECTRICITY • BIOFUELS •NATURAL GAS OIL PRODUCTS REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] REF 2040 2050 E[R] 105 © PETER CATON/GP © PETER CATON/GP key results | LATIN AMERICA - TRANSPORT

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