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image A SOLAR COOKER BEING USED TO PREPARE POP CORN AT THE JERICHO COMMUNITY CENTER. A SOLAR POWERED PUBLIC VIEWING AREA WAS CREATED FOR THE WORLD CUP. image ESKOM’S KUSILE POWER PLANT IN THE DELMAS MUNICIPAL AREA OF THE MPUMALANGA PROVINCE IS SET TO BECOME WORLDS FOURTH MOST POLLUTING POWER PLANT IN TERMS OF GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS. africa: transport In 2050, the car fleet in Africa will be significantly larger than today. Today, a large share of old cars are driven in Africa. With growing individual mobility, an increasing share of small efficient cars is projected, with vehicle kilometres driven resembling industrialised countries averages. More efficient propulsion technologies, including hybrid-electric power trains, will help to limit the growth in total transport energy demand to a factor of 1.3, reaching 4,400 PJ/a in 2050. In Africa, the fleet of electric vehicles will grow to the point where almost 20% of total transport energy is covered by electricity. By 2030 electricity will provide 4% of the transport sector’s total energy demand under the Energy [R]evolution scenario. Under both scenario road transport volumes increases significantly. However, under the Energy [R]evolution scenario, the total energy demand for road transport increases from 3,100 PJ/a in 2009 to 3,940 PJ/a in 2050, compared to 6,390 PJ/a in the Reference case. table 5.29: africa: transport energy demand by mode under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (WITHOUT ENERGY FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORT) IN PJ/A Rail REF E[R] 2009 2020 36 45 36 52 3,096 3,897 3,096 3,697 105 130 105 127 28 38 28 38 3,264 4,110 3,264 3,914 2030 2040 2050 5 52 61 73 74 103 143 4,655 5,493 6,393 3,926 3,961 3,943 177 257 410 155 200 254 56 76 98 52 68 79 4,941 5,887 6,974 4,207 4,332 4,420 Road Domestic aviation Domestic navigation Total REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] figure 5.67: africa: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • HYDROGEN • ELECTRICITY BIOFUELS •NATURAL GAS •OIL PRODUCTS REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] REF 2040 2050 E[R] 125 © B. KURZEN/GP © SHAYNE ROBINSON/GP key results | AFRICA - TRANSPORTPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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