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image LAKE OF OIL, AL BURGAN OILFIELD, KUWAIT. image ASHDOD COAL POWER PLANT IN ISRAEL. middle east: transport In the transport sector, it is assumed under the Energy [R]evolution scenario compared to the Refence scenario an energy demand reduction of 8,160 PJ/a or 66% can be achieved by 2050. Energy demand will therefore decrease between 2009 and 2050 by 11% to 4,140 PJ/a (including energy for pipeline transport).This reduction can be achieved by the introduction of highly efficient vehicles, by shifting the transport of goods from road to rail and by changes in mobility-related behaviour patterns. Implementing a mix of increased public transport as attractive alternatives to individual cars, the car stock is growing slower and annual person kilometres are lower than in the Reference scenario. A shift towards smaller cars triggered by economic incentives together with a significant shift in propulsion technology towards electrified power trains and a reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled per year leads to significant energy savings. In 2030, electricity will provide 9% of the transport sector’s total energy demand in the Energy [R]evolution, while in 2050 the share will be 41%. table 5.35: middle east: transport energy demand by mode under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (WITHOUT ENERGY FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORT) IN PJ/A Rail REF E[R] 2009 2020 2030 2040 2050 5 12222 Road Domestic aviation Domestic navigation Total REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] 1 4 4,623 7,190 4,623 5,961 38 51 38 48 0 0 0 0 4,662 7,243 4,662 6,013 8 12 19 10,024 11,129 12,202 5,373 4,481 4,058 61 58 53 58 55 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,086 11,189 12,256 5,438 4,549 4,127 figure 5.80: middle east: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • HYDROGEN • ELECTRICITY • BIOFUELS •NATURAL GAS OIL PRODUCTS REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] REF 2040 2050 E[R] 135 © GP/JIM HODSON © GP/PIERRE GLEIZES key results | MIDDLE EAST - TRANSPORTPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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