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image DOCUMENTATION OF OIL POLLUTION AT OIL FIELDS IN THE KOMI-REGION, RUSSIA.THE EXPLOITATION OF OIL CAUSES A STEADY POLLUTION DUE TO OLD AND BROKEN PIPELINES. RIVER KOLVA. image GAS FLARING IN RUSSIA. eastern europe/eurasia: transport A key target in Eastern Europe/Eurasia is to introduce incentives for people to drive smaller cars, something almost completely absent today. In addition, it is vital to shift transport use to efficient modes like rail, light rail and buses, especially in the expanding large metropolitan areas.Together with rising prices for fossil fuels, these changes reduce the huge growth in car sales projected under the Reference scenario. Compared to the Reference scenario, energy demand from the transport sector is reduced by 5,948 PJ/a 2050, saving 60% compared to the Reference scenario. Energy demand in the transport sector will therefore decrease between 2009 and 2050 by 28% to 4,012 PJ/a (including energy for pipeline transport). Highly efficient propulsion technology with hybrid, plug-in hybrid and batteryelectric power trains will bring large efficiency gains. By 2030, electricity will provide 21% of the transport sector’s total energy demand in the Energy [R]evolution, while in 2050 the share will be 46%. table 5.41: eastern europe/eurasia: transport energy demand by mode under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (WITHOUT ENERGY FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORT) IN PJ/A Rail REF E[R] 2009 2020 531 777 531 650 3,435 4,111 3,435 3,794 228 337 228 337 53 66 53 66 4,247 5,292 4,247 4,848 2030 2040 2050 5 936 1,156 1,331 655 705 766 4,720 5,341 6,048 3,411 2,882 2,483 382 429 474 347 357 365 71 72 75 64 56 49 6,109 6,998 7,928 4,478 4,000 3,662 Road Domestic aviation Domestic navigation Total REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] figure 5.93: eastern europe/eurasia: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • HYDROGEN • ELECTRICITY • BIOFUELS •NATURAL GAS OIL PRODUCTS REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] REF 2040 2050 E[R] 145 © DANIEL MUELLER/GP © DANIEL MUELLER/GP key results | EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA - TRANSPORTPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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