SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK india GLOBAL SCENARIO india: heating supply OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA Renewables currently provide 55% of India’s energy demand for 5 heatsupply,themaincontributioncomingfrombiomass. Dedicated support instruments are required to ensure a dynamic future development. In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, renewables provide 68% of India’s total heat demand in 2030 and 91% in 2050. • Energy efficiency measures can decrease the specific demand in spite of improving living standards. • For direct heating, solar collectors, new biomass/biogas heating systems as well as geothermal energy are increasingly substituting for fossil fuel-fired systems and traditional biomass use. • A shift from coal and oil to natural gas in the remaining conventional applications will lead to a further reduction of CO2 emissions. Table 5.44 shows the development of the different renewable technologies for heating in India over time. After 2020, the continuing growth of solar collectors and a growing share of geothermal heat pumps will reduce the dependence on fossil fuels and biomass. table 5.44: india: renewable heating capacities under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario IN GW Biomass Solar collectors Geothermal Hydrogen Total 2009 5,497 E[R] 5,497 REF 11 E[R] 11 REF 0 E[R] 0 REF 0 E[R] 0 REF 5,508 E[R] 5,508 2020 2030 5,813 5,833 6,117 5,951 28 47 742 1,981 5 22 205 814 0 0 0 65 5,845 5,902 7,064 8,811 2040 5,868 5,852 90 2,989 49 1,908 0 341 6,008 11,090 2050 5,994 5,242 159 4,215 73 3,116 0 741 6,226 13,313 REF figure 5.103: india: heat supply structure under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) 18,000 15,000 12,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 PJ/a 0 152 REF E[R] 2009 REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] 2040 REF E[R] 2050 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • HYDROGEN • GEOTHERMAL • SOLAR • BIOMASS FOSSIL key results | INDIA - HEATING

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