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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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image CHILDREN STUDY UNDER THE SOLAR POWERED STREETLIGHTS IN ODANTHURAI PANCHAYAT, TAMIL NADU. WHILE MOST OF THE PANCHAYAT HAS NOW BEEN RENOVATED AS NEW HOUSING BLOCKS WITH ELECTRICITY CONNECTIONS, THERE REMAIN A FEW WHERE THE ONLY ELECTRICAL LIGHT IS IN THE STREET. image A NURSE CLEANS SWETA KUMARIS’S STITCHES WITH INSTRUMENTS STERILIZED BY SOLAR POWERED STEAM IN TRIPOLIO HOSPITAL, PATNA. india: transport In the transport sector, it is assumed under the Energy [R]evolution scenario that energy demand increase can be effectively limited, saving 12,541 PJ/a by 2050 or 68% compared to the Reference scenario. Energy demand will therefore increase between 2009 and 2050 by only 178% to 6,000 PJ/a.This reduction can be achieved by the introduction of highly efficient vehicles, by shifting the transport of goods from road to rail and by changes in mobility related behaviour patterns. Implementing a mix of increased public transport as attractive alternatives to individual cars, the car stock is growing slower and annual person kilometres are lower than in the Reference scenario. A shift towards smaller cars triggered by economic incentives together with a significant shift in propulsion technology towards electrified power trains and a reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled by 0.25% per year leads to significant energy savings. In 2030, electricity will provide 17% of the transport sector’s total energy demand in the Energy [R]evolution, while in 2050 the share will be 58%. table 5.47: india: transport energy demand by mode under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (WITHOUT ENERGY FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORT) IN PJ/A Rail REF E[R] 2009 2020 149 202 149 257 1,892 2,985 1,892 2,587 62 115 62 115 53 70 53 63 2,156 3,372 2,156 3,022 2030 2040 2050 5 274 346 427 430 518 690 6,210 11,334 17,081 4,169 4,791 4,693 246 457 723 209 317 478 116 208 313 101 128 142 6,846 12,345 18,544 4,910 5,754 6,002 Road Domestic aviation Domestic navigation Total REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] figure 5.106: india: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario 20,000 16,000 12,000 8,000 4,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • HYDROGEN • ELECTRICITY • BIOFUELS •NATURAL GAS OIL PRODUCTS REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] REF 2040 2050 E[R] 155 © S. LAKSHMANAN/GP © H. KATRAGADDA/GP key results | INDIA - TRANSPORT

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