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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK non oecd asia GLOBAL SCENARIO OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA non oecd asia: electricity generation The development of the electricity supply market is characterised 5 byanincreasingshareofrenewableelectricity.By2050,96%of the electricity produced in Non OECD Asia will come from renewable energy sources. ‘New’ renewables – mainly wind, PV and solar thermal power – will contribute 88% of electricity generation.The Energy [R]evolution scenario projects an immediate market development with high annual growth rates achieving a renewable electricity share of 36% already by 2020 and 64% by 2030.The installed capacity of renewables will reach 605 GW in 2030 and 1,619 GW by 2050, an enormous increase. Table 5.49 shows the comparative evolution of the different renewable technologies in Non OECD Asia over time. Up to 2020 hydro and wind will remain the main contributors of the growing market share. After 2020, the continuing growth of wind will be complemented by electricity from photovoltaics, solar thermal (CSP), and ocean energy. The Energy [R]evolution scenario will lead to a high share of fluctuating power generation sources (photovoltaic, wind and ocean) of 34% by 2030 and 54% by 2050, therefore the expansion of smart grids, demand side management (DSM) and storage capacity from the increased share of electric vehicles will be used for a better grid integration and power generation management. table 5.49: non oecd asia: renewable electricity generation capacity under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario IN GW 2009 2020 2030 48 75 100 48 69 80 3 6 11 3 4 7 1 6 21 1 90 210 3 5 7 3 12 34 0 4 11 0 59 199 CSP REF 00000 Hydro REF E[R] Biomass REF E[R] Wind REF E[R] Geothermal REF E[R] 2040 2050 123 146 88 96 17 23 11 13 45 71 372 478 10 13 72 107 64 171 295 0 0 0 12 27 53 150 211 275 605 1,130 1,619 PV REF E[R] 17 24 391 577 key results | NON OECD ASIA - ELECTRICITY GENERATION figure 5.113: non oecd asia: electricity generation structure under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (INCLUDING ELECTRICITY FOR ELECTROMOBILITY, HEAT PUMPS AND HYDROGEN GENERATION) 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 TWh/a 0 • Ocean energy Total E[R] 0 4 REF 0 0 E[R] 0 2 REF 55 96 E[R] 55 240 160 REF 2009 E[R] REF 2015 E[R] REF 2020 E[R] REF 2030 E[R] REF 2040 E[R] REF 2050 E[R] • GEOTHERMAL • • BIOMASS •PV • WIND • HYDRO • NUCLEAR • DIESEL OIL •NATURAL GAS • • LIGNITE COAL •OCEAN ENERGY SOLAR THERMALPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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