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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK oecd asia oceania GLOBAL SCENARIO OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA oecd asia oceania: electricity generation The development of the electricity supply market is charaterised 5 byadynamicallygrowingrenewableenergymarket.Thiswill compensate for the phasing out of nuclear energy and reduce the number of fossil fuel-fired power plants required for grid stabilisation. By 2050, 93% of the electricity produced in OECD Asia Oceania will come from renewable energy sources. ‘New’ renewables – mainly wind, PV and geothermal energy – will contribute 76% of electricity generation.The Energy [R]evolution scenario projects an immediate market development with high annual growth rates achieving a renewable electricity share of 31% already by 2020 and 56% by 2030.The installed capacity of renewables will reach 524 GW in 2030 and 856 GW by 2050. Table 5.61 shows the comparative evolution of the different renewable technologies in OECD Asia Oceania over time. Up to 2020 hydro and wind will remain the main contributors of the growing market share. After 2020, the continuing growth of wind will be complemented by electricity from biomass, photovoltaics solar thermal (CSP) and ocean energy.The Energy [R]evolution scenario will lead to a high share of fluctuating power generation sources (photovoltaic, wind and ocean) of 36% by 2030, therefore the expansion of smart grids, demand side management (DSM) and storage capacity from the increased share of electric vehicles will be used for a better grid integration and power generation management. MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA table 5.61: oecd asia oceania: renewable electricity generation capacity under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario IN GW 2009 2020 2030 2040 2050 67 70 72 72 70 67 75 79 79 82 5 6 9 10 12 5 11 20 32 44 4 14 24 33 37 4 75 171 221 239 1 2 2 4 5 1 9 17 24 31 3 9 16 21 25 3 71 186 279 350 CSP REF 03356 Hydro REF E[R] Biomass REF E[R] Wind REF E[R] Geothermal REF E[R] PV REF E[R] Ocean energy Total E[R] 0 REF 0 11 18 01 25 31 2 3 59 79 148 158 718 856 E[R] 0 REF 80 103 16 34 127 key results | OECD ASIA OCEANIA - ELECTRICITY GENERATION E[R] 80 268 524 figure 5.139: oecd asia oceania: electricity generation structure under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (INCLUDING ELECTRICITY FOR ELECTROMOBILITY, HEAT PUMPS AND HYDROGEN GENERATION) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 TWh/a 0 •OCEAN ENERGY • •SOLAR THERMAL • GEOTHERMAL • BIOMASS •PV • WIND • HYDRO • NUCLEAR • DIESEL OIL •NATURAL GAS • • LIGNITE COAL 180 REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] 2040 REF E[R] 2050PDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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