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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK oecd asia oceania GLOBAL SCENARIO OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA oecd asia oceania: heating supply Renewables currently provide 6% of OECD Asia Oceania’s energy 5 demandforheatsupply,themaincontributioncomingfromthe use of biomass.The lack of district heating networks is a severe structural barrier to the large scale utilisation of geothermal and solar thermal energy. In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, renewables provide 47% of OECD Asia Oceania’s total heat demand in 2030 and 90% in 2050. • Energy efficiency measures can decrease the current demand for heat supply by 13%, in spite of improving living standards. • For direct heating, solar collectors, biomass/biogas as well as geothermal energy are increasingly substituting for fossil fuel-fired systems. • The introduction of strict efficiency measures e.g. via strict building standards and ambitious support programms for renewable heating systems are needed to achieve economies of scale within the next 5 to 10 years. Table 5.62 shows the development of the different renewable technologies for heating in OECD Asia Oceania over time. Up to 2020 biomass will remain the main contributors of the growing market share. After 2020, the continuing growth of solar collectors and a growing share of geothermal heat pumps will reduce the dependence on fossil fuels. MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA table 5.62: oecd asia oceania: renewable heating capacities under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario IN GW Biomass REF E[R] 2009 2020 338 396 338 845 74 57 74 323 29 34 29 354 00 04 440 486 440 1,526 2030 2040 2050 473 539 592 1,469 1,745 1,808 96 121 138 880 1,272 1,482 42 54 69 953 1,398 1,806 0 0 0 34 108 297 611 714 798 3,336 4,523 5,393 Solar collectors Geothermal Hydrogen Total REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] figure 5.142: oecd asia oceania: heat supply structure under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (‘EFFICIENCY’ = REDUCTION COMPARED TO THE REFERENCE SCENARIO) 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 PJ/a 0 • ‘EFFICIENCY’ • • HYDROGEN • GEOTHERMAL • SOLAR • BIOMASS FOSSIL 182 REF 2009 E[R] REF E[R] 2015 REF E[R] 2020 REF E[R] 2030 REF E[R] 2040 REF E[R] 2050 key results | OECD ASIA OCEANIA - HEATINGPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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